The complete public archive of Hamer Intelligence Services — alerts, analysis, forecasts, threat assessments, and daily briefs. Filter by type, severity, theater, time window, or full-text search.
Around 21:01 UTC, senior Iranian official Mohsen Rezaee warned Tehran will not tolerate the ongoing naval blockade and will respond if it continues, while the Iranian Navy chief signaled an imminent unveiling of a feare…
U.S. Central Command has prepared a plan for a “short and powerful” wave of strikes on Iran to break the negotiating deadlock, alongside ongoing congressional questioning over the cost and conduct of the Iran war. This …
Venezuela has signed an MoU with BP focused on offshore non-associated gas exploration and exploitation. While early-stage and subject to sanctions and execution risk, it introduces a credible path to additional Atlanti…
U.S. Central Command has prepared a plan for a "short and powerful" wave of strikes on Iran, aimed at breaking a negotiating deadlock. While not yet executed, this increases the probability of direct hits on Iranian ene…
Trump has rejected Tehran’s latest offer and stated the U.S. naval blockade on Iran will remain until a new nuclear deal is agreed. This signals that current Iranian export disruptions and associated Gulf shipping risk …
Around 19:55 UTC, Axios‑sourced reports say U.S. Central Command has prepared a plan for a 'short and powerful' new wave of strikes on Iran to break the current negotiating stalemate, signaling an imminent potential esc…
Between 19:55 and 20:01 UTC, US sources and leaders signaled further escalation options and a hard negotiating line in the war with Iran. CENTCOM has a plan for a “short and powerful” new strike wave on Iran, Trump has …
Around 19:55–20:01 UTC on 29 April, reports surfaced that U.S. Central Command has prepared a plan for a 'short and powerful' wave of strikes on Iran to break a negotiating deadlock, while Donald Trump publicly claimed …
On 29 April, the Kremlin disclosed that Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump held a more than 90‑minute phone call, during which Putin expressed readiness to declare a temporary ceasefire in Ukraine for Victory Day on 9 May.…
A U.S. Navy MQ‑4C Triton surveillance drone was damaged mid‑flight over the Persian Gulf on 27 April but managed to land safely, according to reports on 29 April. This is the second serious Triton incident in the region…
On 29 April, Ukrainian forces reported destroying a Russian Nebo‑M air‑defense radar with a loitering munition near Ukolovo in Russia’s Belgorod region, about 100 km from the border. The attack highlights Kyiv’s deep‑st…
On 29 April, crude benchmark Brent climbed to about $115 per barrel amid a tightening blockade on Iran and growing war risk. Iran is reportedly running out of storage, forcing use of old tankers, while the U.S. keeps a …
On 29 April, several rockets struck the city of Quetta in Pakistan’s Balochistan province, according to reports around 19:01 UTC. The attack, apparently using Chinese‑made 107mm Type 63 rockets, has been attributed to a…
The German government on 29 April approved key parameters for its 2027 federal budget, significantly raising spending and debt to fund defense and infrastructure, including expanded support for Ukraine. Berlin will also…
On 29 April, Russian forces consolidated control over Novodmytrivka and other positions near Ukraine’s Sumy border region, while the mayor of Shostka appealed to residents to leave if they cannot withstand daily attacks…
The United Arab Emirates has decided to leave the OPEC producers’ cartel, according to statements circulating on 29 April. The move, praised by Trump and framed domestically as strategic independence, comes as Brent cru…
U.S. Central Command has prepared options for a concentrated wave of attacks on Iranian targets, according to accounts circulating on 29 April. The concept, described as “short and powerful”, is intended to break a dead…
The USS Gerald R. Ford is being withdrawn from the Middle East after a 10‑month deployment, leaving only two U.S. carrier strike groups in the region. This modestly reduces perceived U.S. ability to escalate against Ira…
Reports reiterate that the UAE has pulled out of OPEC and President Trump publicly called the move “great,” framing it as Abu Dhabi wanting to “go his own way.” The political endorsement reduces odds of near‑term U.S. p…
Bloomberg reports Iran is filling old, previously unused tankers for storage as onshore capacity runs out under the ongoing export blockade. This confirms severe constraints on Iranian crude flows, supporting a higher s…
The USS Gerald R. Ford carrier is being withdrawn from the Middle East after a 10‑month deployment, leaving only two US carrier groups in the region. This modestly reduces US strike capacity against Iran and signals a s…
Trump publicly welcomed the UAE’s withdrawal from OPEC, reinforcing that Abu Dhabi intends to chart an independent production path. This cements expectations of higher UAE output over time and a looser OPEC+ cohesion, a…
Between 18:20–19:05 UTC, the UAE’s withdrawal from OPEC was publicly reinforced by Trump, Brent crude traded around $115 on tightening supply fears, and Kremlin aide Ushakov confirmed Putin’s readiness to declare a Vict…
Acting President Delcy Rodríguez signed an MoU with BP as Venezuela simultaneously reopens ties with the IMF, potentially unlocking $5B in SDRs. This combination signals incremental normalization of the Venezuelan oil s…
Bloomberg reports Iran is filling old, previously idle tankers for storage as domestic capacity runs out under the ongoing export blockade. This implies sustained suppression of Iranian exports and rising shut‑in risk, …
The UAE has reportedly pulled out of OPEC, signaling a potential break from coordinated production management. This materially raises uncertainty around future supply growth from Abu Dhabi and undermines OPEC’s cohesion…
At around 19:01 UTC, multiple reports confirmed the UAE has pulled out of OPEC, with Trump publicly praising the move. In parallel, from 18:19–19:01 UTC, Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov and Trump both stated that Putin is rea…
Around 19:01 UTC, reports emerged that the UAE has pulled out of OPEC, while Kremlin aide Ushakov confirmed Putin’s readiness to declare a temporary Ukraine ceasefire by Victory Day after a 1.5‑hour call with Trump. Sim…
Brent crude has traded above $119.50 per barrel, the highest level since June 2022, as markets price a prolonged U.S. naval blockade of Iran and sustained risk to Hormuz transits. The move signals broad repricing of oil…
Trump restates that the U.S. will maintain a naval blockade on Iran until a nuclear agreement is reached, describing it as more effective than strikes. This hardens expectations of a sustained disruption to Iranian crud…
Venezuelan official Diosdado Cabello notes that the recent lifting of some sanctions on the Central Bank of Venezuela is not automatic and requires procedural steps with global banks. This slows any near‑term expansion …
Trump publicly reiterates that the U.S. will maintain the naval blockade on Iran until a new nuclear agreement is reached, framing the blockade as more effective than strikes. This hardens expectations that Iranian crud…
Between 17:20 and 18:01 UTC, Moscow and Washington confirmed a 90‑minute Trump–Putin call covering Iran and Ukraine, while reports indicate the Pentagon is preparing to recall one US aircraft carrier from the Middle Eas…
Between 17:20–18:01 UTC on 29 April, multiple sources reported a roughly 90‑minute Trump–Putin call focused on Iran and Ukraine, during which Putin offered a temporary Ukraine ceasefire around Victory Day and warned of …
Brent has pushed to $120/bbl as Trump hardens his stance on Iran, rejecting a phased Hormuz deal and tying any lifting of the naval blockade to a new nuclear agreement. With CENTCOM preparing a ‘short and powerful’ stri…
Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels struck the tanker Marquis under the Cameroonian flag in the eastern Black Sea. This highlights rising risks to commercial shipping around Russian energy routes and could add to the ris…
At around 16:52–16:59 UTC on 29 April 2026, Brent crude traded up to $120 per barrel as markets digested Trump’s refusal to ease the Iran naval blockade and new reporting that U.S. CENTCOM has prepared a ‘short and powe…
By 16:52–16:59 UTC on 29 April 2026, Brent crude traded at $120/barrel, extending an earlier intraday jump from $114 to $118 following President Trump’s explicit rejection of Iran’s phased Hormuz reopening proposal and …
Guinea’s mines ministry reports a 25% YoY surge in Q1 2026 bauxite exports to 60.9 Mt and signals forthcoming export restrictions aimed at lifting prices. As the world’s largest seaborne bauxite supplier and a key sourc…
Between 16:24 and 16:53 UTC on 29 April, Brent crude futures jumped from the mid‑$110s to above $120 per barrel, with WTI climbing from about $103 to over $106. The move follows Trump’s reiteration that the U.S. Iran na…
Trump told Axios the U.S. will maintain its naval blockade on Iran and keep the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed to Iranian oil until a new nuclear deal is reached, rejecting Tehran’s proposal to reopen first. This h…
Ukraine struck the TES oil depot in Simferopol along with multiple Russian air defense and command assets across occupied territories and Russia proper. The attack underscores Kyiv’s continued ability to reach into Russ…
A senior Iranian security source told Press TV that Tehran will launch “practical and unprecedented” actions if the U.S. maintains its naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. This raises the probability of kinetic escal…
Trump reiterated that the U.S. will maintain a naval blockade on Iran until a new nuclear deal is reached, explicitly rejecting Tehran’s offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz first. This hardens expectations that Iranian…
Between 15:59 and 16:01 UTC on 29 April 2026, Trump told Axios the U.S. will maintain its naval blockade on Iran until a nuclear deal is reached, explicitly rejecting Tehran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz fir…
Between 15:59 and 16:01 UTC on 29 April 2026, Trump reiterated that the U.S. will maintain its naval blockade on Iran until a nuclear deal is reached, explicitly rejecting Tehran’s offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz f…
A senior Iranian security source warned of “practical and unprecedented” responses if Washington maintains its naval blockade at the Strait of Hormuz. This escalates the risk of direct attacks or disruptive actions agai…
Trump publicly committed to maintaining the U.S. naval blockade on Iran until a nuclear deal is reached, explicitly rejecting Tehran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz first. This hardens expectations of a sustai…
Around 16:00 UTC on 29 April 2026, President Trump told Axios the U.S. will maintain its naval blockade on Iran until a new nuclear deal is reached, explicitly rejecting Tehran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz …
On 29 April 2026, senior Iranian officials declared that Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz would be ‘permanent’ and warned of ‘practical and unprecedented’ responses if the U.S. maintains its naval blockade. The …