The complete public archive of Hamer Intelligence Services — alerts, analysis, forecasts, threat assessments, and daily briefs. Filter by type, severity, theater, time window, or full-text search.
Emerging details from Washington and media leaks between 03:20–03:50 UTC show the Trump administration dangling a $300 billion private investment mechanism and sanctions restraint in return for Iran freezing its nuclear…
Between 03:19 and 03:57 UTC, the Bank of Japan raised its overnight call rate to 1.00% — the highest since 1995 — and flagged that faster‑passing energy costs could push core inflation above target, while committing to …
NBC reports that no oil tankers passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday, directly contradicting public assurances from Trump and Pence. If accurate, this implies a temporary standstill in crude and product flows t…
At 03:19–03:57 UTC, the Bank of Japan raised its overnight call rate to 1.00% and signaled sustained tightening, taking Japanese rates to their highest level since 1995 while the yen trades near historic lows. The move …
Reports that no oil tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz on 15 June, contradicting claims by Donald Trump and Mike Pence, turn an already tense standoff into a tangible supply risk. For tanker crews, insurers, Gulf pr…
At the G7 summit, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced a deal to supply Ukraine with enriched uranium for its nuclear power plants through 2028, backed by £210 million in British financing. The pledge aims to keep U…
Ukrainian forces are claiming fresh drone attacks on Russian oil facilities, including an overnight hit on a depot in Russia’s Poltava region and a blaze at an oil base in Kuban. By turning refineries and storage sites …
New data show China’s new construction starts fell 22.6% year-on-year in January–May, while year-to-date urban investment slid to –4.1% in May, far worse than expected. The figures confirm that Beijing’s real estate cri…
A new memorandum of understanding establishes a 60‑day ceasefire and negotiation window in which Iran agrees to freeze its nuclear program and restate that it will not seek a weapon, while the U.S. holds back new sancti…
Benjamin Netanyahu hailed Israel as the first country to recognize Somaliland, promising to turn ‘friendship into prosperity’ and casting the move as correcting a historic injustice. The step challenges decades of diplo…
A U.S. Air Force B‑52 Stratofortress crashed shortly after takeoff from Edwards Airfield on Monday, killing all eight people on board, including service members, government staff and Boeing employees. The loss hits one …
The Bank of Japan has raised interest rates to their highest level since 1995 while warning that surging energy costs are feeding into consumer prices faster than expected, threatening to push inflation above target. Th…
China’s new construction starts fell 22.6% YoY in Jan–May and urban fixed investment dropped 4.1% YoY, underscoring persistent property sector weakness. This compounds existing concerns about Chinese demand for metals, …
Ukrainian forces reportedly struck an oil depot in Russia’s Poltava area, adding to the pattern of cross‑border attacks on Russian energy infrastructure. While asset scale is not yet confirmed, the incident marginally t…
A U.S. Air Force B‑52 strategic bomber reportedly crashed near Edwards Air Force Base in California on Monday, with eight crew members said to have been killed. If confirmed, the loss would hit one of Washington’s core …
China’s May retail sales fell 0.6% YoY versus an expected 0.2% decline, and new home prices extended their month-on-month drop, underscoring continued weakness in domestic consumption and property. Together with a sligh…
By 01:30 UTC, Ecuadorian market reports said WTI crude had dropped about 5% to $80.3/bbl after an MoU was announced to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. A prospective normalization of the world’s most cri…
Washington’s pledge to help Iran eliminate enriched uranium under IAEA oversight signals a new phase in nuclear diplomacy, even as domestic politics on both sides remain volatile. For Iranian technicians, IAEA inspector…
Ukrainian drones reportedly struck oil depots in Russia’s Yaroslavl and Krasnodar regions, damaging storage tanks hundreds of kilometres from the front line. The attacks put Russian energy infrastructure, local communit…
Iran now says the Strait of Hormuz will not have ‘tolls’ but will charge undefined ‘fees’, a semantic shift that leaves tanker operators and import‑dependent states guessing about future costs and control. For ship crew…
Eight U.S. service members died when a bomber crashed during a routine training flight in California, with the cause still unknown. The loss hits families, squadrons and commanders alike, and will intensify scrutiny of …
China’s industrial output in May grew 4.5% year‑on‑year, slightly beating expectations, even as retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.6%. The split recovery leaves factory owners, workers and global suppliers facing a famili…
Russian troops reportedly raised their flag in Krasny Gorodok, south of Kostiantynivka, while intensified FPV drone strikes hit Ukrainian vehicles and infantry positions in nearby rear zones. The twin moves put Ukrainia…
A new FARC-EP video shows a female fighter carrying an AK-103 assault rifle with optic, a weapon type believed to originate from Venezuela. The image will sharpen concerns in Bogotá and beyond that Colombia’s insurgents…
A Hezbollah‑launched 358 surface‑to‑air missile reportedly shot down an Israeli Heron reconnaissance drone over Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley, showcasing a growing non‑state air defense threat. For Israeli planners, Hezbollah …
Reports at 01:02 UTC say a Hezbollah‑operated 358 surface‑to‑air missile hit an Israeli Heron reconnaissance UAV over Lebanon’s Bekaa Valley, highlighting a steady upgrade in non‑state air defenses. If confirmed, Israel…
Iranian officials say the Strait of Hormuz will not have ‘tolls’ but will have ‘fees,’ while the US announces it will assist Iran and the IAEA in destroying enriched uranium. Combined with prior reports of a US–Iran dea…
Ukrainian drones reportedly struck oil depots at the Palkino oil pumping station in Yaroslavl region and the Tamanneftegaz terminal in Krasnodar Krai, both hundreds of kilometers from Ukraine. This extends the ongoing c…
Around 00:16 UTC, US officials said Washington will assist Iran, alongside the IAEA, in destroying enriched uranium stockpiles. The move sharpens Iran’s shift away from weapon‑grade capability and strengthens the credib…
Around 00:15–00:20 UTC on 16 June, U.S. and Iranian signals pointed to a structurally different Gulf landscape: Washington says it will help Iran destroy enriched uranium with the IAEA, while Tehran outlines a ‘fees not…
At 00:00 UTC on 16 June, reports said Israeli PM Netanyahu formally hosted Somaliland’s president to celebrate the ‘start’ of a strategic alliance, praising mutual commitment and Somaliland’s record of stability. This m…
Reports at 00:00–00:01 UTC say Israeli PM Netanyahu and Somaliland’s president have formally launched a ‘strategic alliance’ in Jerusalem, with Somaliland praising Israel’s ‘courage’ in engaging where others ‘had fear’.…
Emerging OSINT points to two separate but strategic moves: footage posted at 00:02 UTC claims to show Russian Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles over Kyiv last night, while 00:00 UTC reports say Israel and Somaliland hav…
Two nuclear‑capable strategic bombers—an American B‑52 and a Russian Tu‑22M3—have reportedly crashed within hours of each other, killing eight U.S. crew while the Russian crew survived. The twin incidents will intensify…
A US‑sanctioned VLCC reportedly spoofed its location, slipped past the US Navy blockade line, and is loading 2 million barrels of Iranian crude, with additional NITC tankers moving. This signals rapid normalization of I…
The US president has formally announced a completed peace agreement with Iran and the immediate end of the US Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This confirms and consolidates earlier reports of easing, pointing to …
Within hours on 15 June, a U.S. B‑52 with eight crew and a Russian Tu‑22M3 strategic bomber went down in separate incidents in California and Irkutsk Oblast. The rare same‑day loss of two nuclear‑capable platforms for o…
A U.S. B‑52 strategic bomber crashed after takeoff at Edwards Air Force Base around 22:08–22:32 UTC, with all eight crew now reported dead. In a separate event, a Russian Tu‑22M3 strategic bomber crashed during training…
Within 24 hours, Air Force Global Strike Command is likely to order at least temporary safety stand-downs or intensive inspections for portions of the B‑52 fleet following the Edwards crash. Operational nuclear and conv…
Over the next 24 hours, Ukraine is likely to launch at least one additional long-range drone wave targeting Russian refineries or fuel depots, following hits on Nizhnekamsk, Rybinsk, and other facilities. Russian air de…
In the coming 24 hours, at least one further incident involving IRGC warning shots, drone overflights, or aggressive intercepts of commercial or foreign naval vessels in or near the Strait of Hormuz is likely, even as t…
Within 24 hours, Iran and Qatar are likely to issue carefully framed public statements affirming the new navigation understanding while avoiding explicit acknowledgment of financial quid pro quos. Tehran will emphasize …
Over the next 24 hours, Russia is likely to issue sharp rhetorical criticism of the US–Iran accord, portraying it as proof of Western hypocrisy on sanctions while signaling that Iranian barrels will compete with Russian…
Within 24 hours, Brent crude prices are likely to drift further downward from ~$83 toward the high‑$70s to low‑$80s range as traders internalize the durability of the Hormuz reopening and a prospective $300 billion Iran…
Over the next 24 hours, wholesale diesel prices in Russia’s southern and agricultural regions are likely to record another noticeable jump as the Tatneft Nizhnekamsk halt compounds prior outages, reinforcing reports of …
Within 24 hours, localized reports from southern Russia are likely to show farmers idling equipment, rationing diesel, or delaying planting and field maintenance due to fuel unavailability and price spikes. While the im…
In the next 24 hours, the reported Ebola outbreak in eastern DRC will prompt neighboring states and aid agencies to initiate or expand border health screenings, deploy rapid response teams, and pre-position medical supp…
Over the next seven days, Ukraine is likely to extend its drone and missile campaign beyond inland refineries to include at least one significant fuel or storage facility associated with export ports on the Baltic or Bl…
Within seven days, US Strategic Command will likely adjust bomber and submarine signaling patterns—slightly increased SSBN visibility, selective B‑2/B‑1 deployments, or joint exercises—to offset any perception of weaken…
Over the next seven days, low-intensity but regular rocket, drone, and artillery exchanges between Hezbollah and the IDF along the Lebanese border are likely to continue, even as diplomatic work on a broader ceasefire f…