The complete public archive of Hamer Intelligence Services — alerts, analysis, forecasts, threat assessments, and daily briefs. Filter by type, severity, theater, time window, or full-text search.
At 04:48 UTC, an Iranian-linked outlet warned that a US strike on Iran’s energy infrastructure would trigger attacks on Saudi, Qatari, Emirati and Israeli mega-fields, calling it a ‘crisis that no one will be able to co…
Reports that the US is considering shutting down electricity across Tehran signal a potential escalation pathway toward more direct US–Iran confrontation. While no action has yet been taken, markets are likely to price …
A social media report at 03:07 UTC claims the United States is considering shutting down electricity across Iran’s capital, Tehran. If this reflects an active US planning option, it would mark a sharp escalation from pr…
Russian Iskander‑M ballistic missiles ignited a large fire in Kyiv’s Vyshneve district and hit at least one site in the city’s northwest, pushing the fight deeper into residential suburbs. For commuters and families far…
U.S. officials are considering options that would shut down electricity across Tehran, according to emerging reports, raising the prospect of a direct hit on Iran’s capital infrastructure without a conventional strike. …
A Ukrainian soldier says a Russian strike on Kyiv wiped out nine of his relatives, including his parents and a two‑year‑old child, turning one family home into a mass casualty site. The loss personalizes the stakes of R…
A Russian salvo of at least 28 ballistic and hypersonic missiles hit Kyiv and central Ukraine overnight, killing and injuring civilians and igniting fires across the capital. The attack raises sharp questions over Ukrai…
American aerial refueling tankers are operating over Jordan and along Iran’s coast while an aircraft believed to be linked to the CIA departs the UAE toward Qatar, according to flight tracking reports. With regional wat…
Japan’s BOJ has again signaled commitment to further rate hikes, explicitly citing the weak yen as an inflation risk. This reinforces expectations of tighter policy and potential FX intervention, supporting JPY and rais…
US Stratotankers are operating along Iran’s coast and over Jordan, with intelligence-linked aircraft repositioning to Qatar and UAE sources warning that airstrikes are expected in the coming hours. This strongly signals…
Multiple Russian Iskander-M and Zircon missile impacts around 02:00–03:00 UTC have left at least four civilians dead, 15 injured, and large fires burning in Kyiv’s Vyshneve district, according to local reporting. The sc…
OSINT reports at 03:02 UTC indicate at least four civilians killed and 15 injured, with a large fire burning in Kyiv’s Vyshneve district after a concentrated Iskander-M and Zircon missile assault. The strike sequence, i…
Kyodo reports the Bank of Japan is signaling commitment to additional rate hikes, explicitly citing the weak yen as a key inflation risk. This reinforces the shift away from ultra-loose policy and raises odds of faster …
OSINT reports indicate at least 26 Russian ballistic and hypersonic missiles have struck Kyiv and Poltava by 02:06–02:09 UTC, with civilian deaths rising and large fires burning in the Vyshneve district. The scale, weap…
Open-source feeds between 02:02 and 02:03 UTC report fresh Russian Iskander-M and Zircon launches toward Kyiv, with multiple explosions and impacts in the city and observers noting ‘Patriots aren’t being launched’. If c…
OSINT reports at around 02:02 UTC describe new Zircon launches from Russia’s Kursk region and at least four additional Iskander-M missiles inbound on Kyiv, followed by multiple explosions and ‘several impacts’ in the ci…
Fresh OSINT at 02:02 UTC points to another mixed Iskander-M and Zircon salvo hitting Kyiv, with launches again traced to Russia’s Kursk region and air defenses reportedly holding fire on some inbound missiles. The repea…
U.S. and Israeli intelligence services have intensified efforts to locate Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, who has not appeared in public since inheriting power after a February 2026 airstrike. Western offic…
Russia has halted exports of gasoline, diesel, marine fuel and gasoil for six months starting 1 August, citing the need to stabilize domestic supplies. The move removes a key supplier from global fuel markets at a time …
A coordinated Russian strike using Iskander-M ballistic and Zircon hypersonic missiles hit Kyiv and central Ukraine overnight, killing civilians who were running for shelter and igniting major fires on the city’s edge. …
Ankara has asked Tehran to halt attacks on Kurdish groups in Iraq, warning that continued strikes could push those groups closer to Israel and derail Turkey’s nascent peace talks with the PKK, according to regional repo…
An Israeli airstrike destroyed the Al‑Muttaqin mosque and nearby tents sheltering displaced families in Gaza City, leaving at least one person dead, according to local religious authorities. Gaza’s religious body says o…
Argentine authorities have arrested a former Buenos Aires provincial police sergeant accused of trafficking people by recruiting Argentines and other Latin Americans to fight on the front lines in Ukraine. The case thro…
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has threatened that Spain will “pay an immediate price” for what he called defamation of the Israel Defense Forces after Madrid’s criticism of Israel’s conduct in Gaza. The unus…
Within the next 24 hours, Russia is likely to launch at least one additional mixed Iskander–Zircon strike package toward Kyiv or nearby infrastructure nodes. Ukrainian air defenses, already struggling to intercept recen…
US and Israeli forces are poised to execute initial air and missile strikes on selected Iranian energy-related facilities within the next 24 hours. Early targets are likely to include export terminals, key compressor st…
In anticipation of or in immediate response to US–Israeli strikes, Iran is likely to authorize limited rocket or drone harassment from proxies against US and Israeli-linked sites in Iraq, Syria, or along the Eastern Med…
Over the next 24 hours, Ankara is likely to intensify diplomatic pressure on Tehran—through public statements or backchannel warnings—to halt or scale down Iranian strikes on Kurdish targets in Iraq. Turkey’s leadership…
Within 24 hours, US Treasury and potentially G7 partners are likely to frame the yen-support intervention as part of a broader concern over FX volatility and disorderly moves, hinting at or coordinating further actions.…
Over the next 24 hours, Russia’s ban on gasoline, diesel, marine fuel, and gasoil exports is likely to lift front-month diesel and gasoline cracks and widen Atlantic Basin refined product spreads. European and Latin Ame…
Markets are likely to price in a significant Middle East risk premium within 24 hours, with Brent futures potentially rising by $3–$7 per barrel on expectations of US–Israeli strikes on Iran and Iranian retaliation thre…
Within 24 hours, Kyiv is likely to experience extended or rolling water and electricity disruptions, particularly in central districts, as emergency crews struggle to stabilize systems after repeated missile strikes nea…
Continued Russian missile attacks over the next 24 hours are likely to increase civilian casualties and prompt short-distance displacement within Kyiv, especially from districts repeatedly hit at night such as Solomians…
Over the next seven days, a US–Israeli air campaign is likely to target specific Iranian refineries, export terminals, and energy-adjacent command-and-control sites, causing notable but not total disruption of Iran’s oi…
In the coming seven days, Russia is likely to broaden its strike patterns from primarily Kyiv-centric barrages to include additional Ukrainian power plants, rail hubs, and logistics warehouses in central and eastern reg…
Within seven days, Iran and its proxies are likely to combine cyberattacks and limited drone operations against Western and regional energy infrastructure, focusing on disruption rather than destruction. Targets may inc…
Over the next week, if Iran continues or intensifies strikes on Kurdish groups in Iraq, Turkish political support for the new PKK reintegration law is likely to fracture, with nationalist factions contesting concessions…
Within seven days, the migrant surge into Spain’s North African enclaves (e.g., Ceuta) is likely to produce sharper policy splits within the EU over burden-sharing, border controls, and asylum processing. Southern front…
Over the next seven days, the combination of Russia’s fuel export ban and rising Middle East conflict risk will likely drive a pronounced global distillate squeeze, with diesel and gasoil prices outpacing crude and gaso…
In the coming week, repeated or threatened US-Japanese FX interventions to support the yen are likely to drive a partial unwind of high-yield carry trades funded in JPY. Investors will reduce exposure to riskier EM curr…
Over the next seven days, Kyiv’s civilian population will face accumulating stress from intermittent power and water outages, damaged housing, and overburdened health facilities as Russian strikes continue. Repeated hit…
Within seven days of a US–Iran escalation, civilian populations near major energy and port facilities in the Gulf and Eastern Mediterranean (e.g., Kharg, Bandar Abbas, Haifa’s offshore gas fields) will face heightened r…
Over the next 30 days, a drawn-out US–Iran confrontation is likely to produce intermittent missile, drone, or mine incidents targeting or threatening commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and adjacent Gulf waters. …
Over 30 days, Ukraine is likely to intensify deep strikes on Russian industrial and energy targets while Russia maintains or escalates missile attacks on Ukrainian power and logistics nodes, solidifying a pattern of mut…
Within 30 days, if Iranian and Russian regional military activities intensify and Kurdish factions drift closer to Israel, armed spoilers within the PKK and aligned groups are likely to attempt high-impact attacks insid…
Over the next month, an extended US–Iran confrontation will accelerate alignment choices among Middle Eastern and African states, with some Gulf and Sahel actors deepening ties to alternative security providers like Rus…
Within 30 days, the combination of intensified migration pressure at Spain’s North African enclaves and escalating war in Ukraine will deepen EU internal divisions over burden-sharing, sanctions, and defense commitments…
Over the next 30 days, Russia’s extended ban on fuel exports combined with heightened Gulf disruption risk will likely create structurally tight global refined product markets, especially for diesel and marine fuel. Eur…
Within 30 days, the combined pressures of higher energy prices from Middle East risks and refined product shortages, plus FX volatility driven by yen interventions, are likely to push major central banks (ECB, BoE, BoJ,…
Over the next 30 days, continued Russian strikes on Ukrainian energy and logistics infrastructure are likely to trigger a looming winterization crisis, particularly in urban centers like Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Dnipro. Repea…