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Friday, May 1, 2026 · UTC
Analysis · Middle East

U.S. Iran War Deepens as Polls Show Strong Domestic Opposition

Around 21:04 UTC on 1 May, new polling indicated 61% of Americans now view President Trump’s war in Iran as a mistake, with support levels comparable to the Iraq and Vietnam wars

Iran and the Persian Gulf. · Source: OpenStreetMap contributors
CRITICAL

Read full briefing →

AnalysisCRITICAL

U.S. Weapons Deliveries to Allies Delayed by Iran War Strain

Around 22:01 UTC on 1 May, Washington privately warned close allies including the UK, Poland, Lithuania and Estonia to expect delays in U.S. arms deliveries. Officials cited

Global
ForecastCRITICAL

US–Iran Conflict Settles into High-Intensity Gray-Zone Contest

In the coming 7 days, the US–Iran confrontation will likely remain in a gray-zone phase characterized by cyber operations, proxy activity e.g., Iraqi and Syrian militias, Yemen

Persian Gulf
AnalysisCRITICAL

Trump Declares Iran Hostilities Over, Keeps Naval Blockade

On 1 May 2026, the White House informed Congress that it considers U.S. hostilities with Iran to have "terminated" after a ceasefire in place since early April. Despite this

Middle East
AlertWARNING

U.S. Warns NATO Allies of Weapons Delivery Delays Amid Iran War

NATO
AlertWARNING

US Gulf of Oman Blockade Severely Curtails Iranian Oil Exports

Iran
AlertWARNING

U.S. Arms Delays Hit NATO Allies as Troops Shift from Germany

NATO
AnalysisWARNING

Argentina Expels Russian Operative Over Alleged Disinformation Campaign

Latin America
AnalysisWARNING

Pentagon to Pull 5,000 U.S. Troops From Germany Amid Global Pivot

Europe
AnalysisWARNING

Colombia’s ELN Showcases Weaponized Drone Fleet in New Footage

Latin America
By the Numbers · Last 24 hours
261
Total items
24
Critical
224
Warning
13
Info
120
Alerts
107
Analysis
34
Forecasts
0
Briefs
AnalysisWARNING

Ukraine Launches Massive Long-Range Drone Wave Toward Russia

Eastern Europe
AlertWARNING

Russian drone strikes hit Odesa port, power substations

Ukraine
AlertWARNING

Somaliland Offers Security Alliance With Israel Against Houthis

Middle East
AlertWARNING

Iraq Starts Trucked Crude Exports to Sanctioned Syria

Middle East
AlertWARNING

Russian Tuapse Fuel Tanks Burning After Refinery Strike

Russia
AlertWARNING

Ukraine Claims Deep Strike on Su‑57s as Tuapse Fuel Burns On

Ukraine
AlertWARNING

US Axes Ukraine Aid Line in 2027 Budget, Shifting Burden to Europe

Ukraine
AlertWARNING

U.S. Cuts Ukraine Fund From 2027 Budget; Iraq Starts Oil Exports to Syria

Ukraine
ForecastCRITICAL

US Maintains Naval Blockade of Iran and High Readiness Despite Declaration that War Is 'Over'

Strait of Hormuz
ForecastHIGH

Hezbollah Continues Cross-Border Attacks on Northern Israel at Current or Slightly Increased Tempo

Northern Israel
ForecastHIGH

Azawad and Jihadist Forces Exploit Tessalit Seizure to Intensify Pressure on Northern Mali Supply Routes

Northern Mali (Tessalit, Kidal, Timbuktu, Gao regions)
ForecastHIGH

EU Announces Immediate Consultations and Prepares Retaliatory Options to US 25% Auto Tariffs

European Union
AnalysisCRITICAL

U.S. Iran War Deepens as Polls Show Strong Domestic Opposition

Middle East
AnalysisCRITICAL

U.S. Weapons Deliveries to Allies Delayed by Iran War Strain

Global
AnalysisWARNING

Argentina Expels Russian Operative Over Alleged Disinformation

Latin America
AnalysisWARNING

Pentagon to Pull 5,000 U.S. Troops From Germany Amid Global Pivot

Europe
ForecastCRITICAL

US–Iran Conflict Settles into High-Intensity Gray-Zone Contest

Persian Gulf
ForecastHIGH

Russian Forces Consolidate Recent Gains Near Sumy, Kupiansk

Sumy region
ForecastCRITICAL

US Maintains Naval Blockade of Iran and High Readiness Despite

Strait of Hormuz
ForecastHIGH

Hezbollah Continues Cross-Border Attacks on Northern Israel

Northern Israel

By Theater

All regions →
CENTCOM 115 Latest:US Gulf of Oman Blockade Severely Curtails Iranian Oil Exports EUCOM 189 Latest:U.S. Warns NATO Allies of Weapons Delivery Delays Amid Iran War INDOPACOM 16 Latest:China Publicly Showcases Africa Trade Opening to Underscore Contrast with US-EU Trade AFRICOM 42 Latest:Sahel Refined Product Premia Rise on Tessalit Loss and Convoy Threats SOUTHCOM 10 Latest:Argentina Expels Russian Operative Over Alleged Disinformation Campaign NORTHCOM 9 Latest:Back-Channel US–Iran Talks Quietly Resume Under Cover of 'War Over' Narrative