Hamer Intel Newsroom Open-Source Intelligence Desk
AI-assisted analysis · Open-source intelligence · All times UTC
Friday, May 1, 2026 · UTC

Forecasts

Page 1 · 60 items
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Russian Incremental Advances on Northeastern Ukrainian Fronts

Kharkiv Oblast
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Renewed Russian Drone and Missile Strikes on Ukrainian Energy Infrastructure

Central Ukraine
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Limited Ukrainian Long-Range Drone Strikes on Russian Energy or Air Assets

Southern Russia (Black Sea coast including Tuapse)
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Initial European Political Backlash to U.S. Troop Withdrawal from Germany and Ukraine Aid Cut Signal

Germany
Forecast

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Security Measures and Advisory Activity Following UK Terror Threat Level Increase

London
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

U.S. Reaffirms Post-War Coercive Stance on Iran Without Immediate Kinetic Escalation

Gulf of Oman
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Upward Pressure on Brent and WTI from Iranian Export Blockade and Russian Refinery Damage

Global oil markets
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Immediate EU Auto Sector and Euro Sentiment Hit from New U.S. 25% Tariffs

Eurozone
Forecast

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Modest Near-Term Lift in Grain and Freight Risk Premia from Odesa Port Strikes

Black Sea region
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Localized Blackouts and Service Disruptions in Ukraine from Continued Energy Strikes

Donetsk region
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Worsening Access Constraints for Civilians in Northern Mali Following Tessalit Base Loss

Northern Mali (Tessalit, Kidal, Gao-Timbuktu corridors)
Forecast

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Short-Term Humanitarian Strain in Iran from Wartime Unexploded Ordnance and Blockade-Induced Shortages

Iranian interior provinces including Zanjan
ForecastCRITICAL

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Russian Forces Seek to Create a Buffer Zone in Sumy and Kharkiv Border Regions

Sumy Oblast
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Ukrainian Deep-Strike Campaign Against Russian Refineries and Air Bases

Southern Russia (Krasnodar Krai, Black Sea coast)
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Intensification of Multi-Actor Conflict Dynamics in Northern Mali

Northern Mali (Tessalit, Kidal, Gao, Timbuktu regions)
ForecastHIGH

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Accelerated European Discussion of Independent Ukraine Support Mechanisms

European Union
Forecast

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Emerging Friction Between Iraq and Western States Over Trucked Oil Exports to Syria

Iraq
Forecast

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Exploratory Contacts on Somaliland–Israel Security Cooperation in Red Sea Theater

Somaliland
Forecast

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

China’s Tariff-Free Access for African States Accelerates Reorientation of African Export Flows

Sub-Saharan Africa
ForecastCRITICAL

By Hamer Intel FORECASTS DESK

Global Oil Price Volatility from Combined Iran Blockade and Russian Refinery Strikes

Global oil-importing economies
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