The complete public archive of Hamer Intelligence Services — alerts, analysis, forecasts, threat assessments, and daily briefs. Filter by type, severity, theater, time window, or full-text search.
A US official says Treasury will issue exemptions to allow Iranian oil exports under the new US–Iran framework, alongside reports that Iran is ceasing efforts to disrupt Strait of Hormuz traffic and that threat levels t…
Washington is signaling that Iran will be allowed to resume oil exports once the new protocol is signed, even as a Houthi fast‑boat raid on a merchant vessel 105 nm northeast of Aden shows the Red Sea–Gulf of Aden corri…
Open‑source reports at 17:35–17:40 UTC indicate Washington and Tehran signed an Islamabad memorandum imposing an immediate, permanent ceasefire across all fronts, including Lebanon, alongside commitments to reopen Irani…
Washington and Tehran have signed a memorandum committing to a ceasefire and reopening Iran’s oil exports, easing immediate fears over the Strait of Hormuz and global energy supplies. But with a 60‑day deadline to resol…
Tehrik‑e Taliban Pakistan fighters stormed a police station in Kurram district using armed drones, U.S.-made sniper rifles, and heavy weapons, according to battlefield imagery and reports. The raid exposes how insurgent…
Microsoft has confirmed a zero‑day flaw in its Defender Malware Protection Engine—now tracked as CVE‑2026‑50656—that lets attackers race their way to SYSTEM‑level privileges on Windows machines. As a public proof‑of‑con…
Families are driving back into southern Lebanon and the army is returning to front‑line villages after a U.S.–Iran memorandum promised a ceasefire, even as Tehran accuses Israel of dozens of violations. With Hezbollah s…
Russian forces are strengthening defensive lines across Crimea as Ukrainian naval infantry rehearse amphibious operations, according to Kyiv’s navy, which says Moscow now sees a landing as a real threat. As Ukraine vows…
A U.S.-led maritime security task force has downgraded the threat level in the Strait of Hormuz after Iran began standing down efforts to disrupt tanker traffic ahead of a new understanding with Washington. For ship cre…
Iran’s vice president says management of the Strait of Hormuz will now be under Iran’s responsibility and that Tehran will collect fees from ships, framing this as an achievement of the recent ‘Ramadan War.’ This reinfo…
Iran’s vice president reiterates that Tehran will manage the Strait of Hormuz and charge passing ships, framing this as an outcome of the recent conflict. While legal and practical implementation are unclear, markets wi…
New US disclosures that Elon Musk’s Grok AI helped direct 2,000 missile strikes on Iran, alongside Trump’s insistence that Tehran can keep some ballistic missiles under a fragile 60‑day memorandum, sharply raise the sta…
Pentagon officials now confirm an AI system powered by Elon Musk’s Grok model directed roughly 2,000 missile strikes on Iran within 96 hours, while President Trump says an Iran agreement will be signed within days but c…
Iran’s vice president says Tehran will henceforth “manage” the Strait of Hormuz and collect fees from ships, framing this as an achievement of the recent war. This signals a potential structural change in governance and…
The Pentagon’s AI lead now says an Elon Musk–linked Grok model helped coordinate 2,000 missile attacks on Iran in 96 hours, even as President Trump confirms Tehran will keep a ballistic missile force under a looming agr…
Trump plans to ask US defense firms to produce missiles under license in Europe and Ukraine to address air-defense shortages. This signals a structural, multi‑year uplift in European and Ukrainian defense industrial out…
Trump told G7 leaders the US would resume bombing Iran if he dislikes how the agreement unfolds, even as allies back the deal to reopen Hormuz. This introduces a persistent overhang of future military risk that could li…
Axios and related reports indicate Washington and Tehran are discussing moving up the signing of their agreement from Friday to as early as Wednesday, which could allow earlier implementation of clauses reopening the St…
At 15:57 UTC, Trump warned at the G7 that the US will ‘go back to bombing’ Iran if he dislikes the looming deal, even as European and US partners accelerate a long-war industrial footing against Russia with a fresh €500…
US, Iran and mediators are reportedly weighing pulling forward the signing of their agreement from Friday to as early as Wednesday, potentially triggering earlier steps to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Vatican and NATO b…
French President Macron publicly backed Trump’s Iran deal as “a good deal” and highlighted that continued fighting would have meant the Strait of Hormuz “staying closed.” This high-level political endorsement at the G7 …
US and Iran are discussing moving up the signing of their agreement to as early as Wednesday, which could allow key provisions like reopening the Strait of Hormuz to take effect sooner. This materially advances the time…
In the 15:15–16:00 UTC window, the Ukraine front and Middle East energy risk profile both pivoted. The Netherlands’ €500 million drone and US-weapons package for Ukraine, coupled with Washington’s exploration of missile…
European Union governments have agreed a mechanism that will let Brussels withhold funds from member states found to be violating democratic norms starting in 2028. For governments flirting with authoritarianism, the th…
U.S. crude inventories, including the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, have fallen to their lowest level since 1985 after an unexpectedly large 8.26‑million‑barrel weekly draw. With geopolitical risks from Hormuz to Russia …
The Netherlands has pledged €500 million for Ukraine’s war effort, splitting the money between Dutch‑made drones and U.S. weapons purchases. The move both strengthens Kyiv’s frontline capabilities and locks European and…
As Washington and Tehran weigh signing a deal as early as Wednesday to extend a ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, Donald Trump is publicly warning he is ready to resume bombing Iran if he dislikes the outcome. …
European Council President António Costa has quietly explored a back channel to the Kremlin, with his top adviser holding two calls with a senior Russian official close to Vladimir Putin. The effort to prepare ground fo…
Donald Trump has activated the Defense Production Act to accelerate U.S. production of missile motors, igniters and guidance systems, citing the need to shore up munitions supply chains. The move confirms what Ukraine a…
The United Arab Emirates is fast‑tracking a multi‑billion dollar build‑out of pipelines and eastern ports to bring its dependence on the Strait of Hormuz “to zero”. For Gulf producers, shipping firms and energy buyers, …
Donald Trump has publicly pledged that the United States would defend India if it were attacked, tying the promise explicitly to Narendra Modi’s leadership. The remark injects U.S. security guarantees into one of the wo…
Reports at 14:38–14:57 UTC say Iran has signed a memorandum with Russia to procure military equipment, while President Trump publicly warned around 14:39 UTC that the expected Iran ceasefire memorandum is “not final” an…
Fed Chair Warsh is reportedly expected to withhold the dot plot from the interest rate outlook. This atypical move increases uncertainty around the Fed’s reaction function, likely boosting FX and rates volatility and po…
The UAE is fast‑tracking a multi‑billion‑dollar infrastructure plan to eliminate reliance on the Strait of Hormuz via new pipelines and expanded Gulf of Oman ports. Over time this structurally reduces Hormuz disruption …
EIA data show US crude inventories including the SPR at their lowest since 1985, alongside an 8.3M bbl weekly draw versus ~3.5M expected. This tightens the perceived US supply cushion and is likely to add risk premium t…
US data at 14:37–14:38 UTC show nationwide crude stocks, including the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, have fallen to their lowest level since 1985 after an 8.26 million‑barrel weekly draw — more than double expectations. …
U.S. crude stocks, including the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, are now at their lowest level since 1985 after an 8.26 million‑barrel draw reported around 14:37–14:50 UTC. The tightening U.S. buffer lands as Iran signs a …
Local reports around 14:00 UTC describe intense clashes as Israeli forces try to advance east of Nabatieh toward Kfar Tebnit and the Ali Taher hill, with Hezbollah using anti‑tank missiles, RPGs and machine‑gun ambushes…
Local reports at 14:00 UTC describe intense fighting as Israeli troops attempt to advance near Nabatieh in southern Lebanon and are met by Hezbollah antitank fire and ambushes. If confirmed as a sustained ground move, t…
At approximately 13:36–13:39 UTC, a U.S. federal judge in New York dismissed the criminal case against Turkey’s state‑owned Halkbank after a Justice Department settlement over alleged Iranian sanctions evasion. The move…
As details of a tentative understanding with Iran leak out, President Donald Trump is publicly stressing that it is only a memorandum — and warning that U.S. airstrikes will resume if Tehran ‘misbehaves.’ The rhetoric e…
Finnish prosecutors have charged a Russian captain and crew member over suspected damage to Baltic Sea undersea cables, alleging their ship had eight more targets before it was stopped. The case turns a shipping lane in…
A U.S. federal judge has dismissed the criminal case against Turkey’s state-owned Halkbank after a Justice Department settlement over alleged evasion of Iran sanctions. The quiet end to one of Washington’s most high-pro…
Hezbollah fighters have hit an Israeli Namer armored vehicle with a fiber‑optic guided kamikaze drone and are battling Israeli forces near Nabatieh with anti-tank missiles and ambushes. The clashes show how cheaply buil…
Researchers have uncovered malicious JetBrains plugins stealing AI provider API keys and Chrome ad blockers quietly harvesting AI chatbot conversations. The findings show how quickly attackers are repurposing developer …
Moscow is preparing to import gasoline by sea for the first time in years after Ukrainian drones damaged refineries and squeezed domestic supplies. The shift exposes a vulnerability in Russia’s war economy that hits dri…
G7 governments are preparing to let Ukraine manufacture Western-designed long-range missiles and air-defense systems on its own soil, turning the country into a forward production base in the war with Russia. The shift …
G7 leaders, joined by Brazil and South Korea, are preparing a sweeping declaration to attack drug cartels’ maritime logistics and shadow finance networks. The plan aims to tighten controls on shipping lanes and dark mon…
Between 13:25 and 13:31 UTC, reports confirmed that G7 states and the US will license-produce long-range missiles and air defenses on Ukrainian soil, while Russia is planning rare seaborne gasoline imports this month af…
Russia will import gasoline by sea for the first time in years to ease domestic shortages caused by sustained Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries. This confirms deeper and more persistent impairment of Russian refinin…