Published: · Region: Middle East · Category: markets

Bessent Says Iran Has No Oil Currently at Sea and Compares Economy to a Firm Near Bankruptcy

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claims Iranian authorities are “in a panic,” saying they’ve threatened prison for publishing exchange rates and that no oil has been loaded at Kharg Island since August, leaving “no oil on its way to customers by sea” and making Iran resemble a company nearing bankruptcy.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has offered a stark assessment of Iran’s finances, arguing that pressure on its currency and oil exports is so intense that the country resembles a business edging toward bankruptcy.

Bessent said “the Iranians are in a panic,” asserting that Iranian authorities have decreed that anyone who publishes currency exchange rates could be sent to prison. He also claimed that since August there has been no oil loaded at the Kharg Island facility and that, as of now, “Iran has no oil on its way to customers by sea.” He urged observers to think of Iran like a company in the process of bankruptcy, where no one is willing to trade. His statements have not been independently verified.

If accurate, Bessent’s description would mark an abrupt tightening of Iran’s economic constraints. Kharg Island has long served as the main outlet for Iranian crude exports, including during periods of sanctions. A halt in loadings there would suggest either significant difficulty in finding buyers, a shift to other ports under more risk, or an internal decision to restrict flows for reasons not yet visible.

For Iranians, the reported threat of prison over publishing exchange rates would curtail one of the few ways households and businesses track the real value of their savings and wages. When the rial weakens, many people turn to informal channels and online platforms to find actual trading levels. Criminalizing that information would point to a leadership intent on controlling public perception rather than allowing transparent pricing.

A sustained drop in seaborne oil exports would hit the state’s budget directly. Oil revenue underpins public sector pay, security spending and subsidies on fuel and food. Previous periods of fuel price hikes and economic strain have led to protests and forceful crackdowns. A sharper fall in income could raise the risk of unrest or widen rifts among elites competing over reduced resources.

Bessent’s comments also serve a political purpose for Washington, underlining the message that sanctions and financial pressure are having real effects. At the same time, they prompt questions about how a government under this kind of strain might behave abroad. A leadership that feels cornered could choose to escalate proxy conflicts or nuclear activity in an effort to gain leverage. It might also calculate that it needs relief badly enough to return to negotiations.

For global oil markets, Bessent’s claims point in two directions. If Iran’s exports have largely stopped, that would remove barrels that traders may have assumed were flowing discreetly, tightening supply and potentially supporting prices. Worries about instability around Iranian territory, including sea lanes near the Strait of Hormuz, could add a risk premium for shipping and insurance even if overall Gulf exports from other states continue.

Sanctions do not have to push exports to zero to shape decisions. Uncertainty over how much oil Iran can sell, and for how long, complicates planning in Tehran and in capitals that buy Iranian crude. It can also give Washington leverage if it chooses to adjust enforcement intensity.

The most telling signals in the weeks ahead will come from independent tracking of tanker movements from Iranian ports, evidence of crude building up in storage, and changes in how Iran talks about its own economy. Steps by Tehran to limit more financial data, revise the state budget or seek new lines of credit from friendly governments would show how it intends to navigate the kind of pressure Bessent described. Responses from countries that previously imported Iranian oil, especially in Asia, will indicate whether buyers are stepping back or quietly shifting routes.

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