Analyst Says Russia Aims to Build 10,000 Dan‑T Missiles in 2027, Expanding Long‑Range Threat to Ukraine
A Ukrainian analyst reports that Russia plans to produce about 10,000 Dan‑T cruise missiles in 2027, a weapon with a 500 km range and 135 kg warhead that can already be launched from multiple platforms.
Russia is reportedly preparing to scale up production of a new cruise missile that could greatly increase the number of long-range strikes it can launch against Ukraine by 2027.
Ukrainian veteran and analyst kriegsforscher says Moscow plans to manufacture around 10,000 Dan-T cruise missiles in that year. He describes the missile as having a range of up to 500 kilometers and a 135-kilogram warhead. These claims have not been confirmed by Russian officials.
According to the analyst, the Dan-T can already be launched from ground platforms and from several types of Russian aircraft, including the Su-25SM3, Su-30SM, Su-34 and Su-57, as well as from the Mi-28 helicopter. This mix of launch options would let Russia fire the missile from its own territory or from occupied parts of Ukraine, complicating efforts to detect and intercept it.
For Ukrainian cities and infrastructure, a missile with a 500-kilometer range would bring many targets deep inside the country into regular reach from distant launch points. Energy facilities, industrial plants and logistics hubs far from the front lines could face sustained pressure.
If Russia were able to produce 10,000 such missiles in a single year, as claimed, it would pose a serious challenge to Ukraine’s air defenses, which already strain to handle frequent waves of drones and missiles.
Strategically, the reported Dan-T plans suggest that Moscow intends to rely heavily on long-range weapons to maintain pressure on Ukraine even if ground operations slow. A large and diverse stock of cruise missiles would make it harder for Ukraine to predict or deter strikes.
For Ukraine and its partners, the report underscores the importance of expanding production of drones, missiles and air-defense interceptors. Ukrainian leaders have spoken about the need for more long-range drones to strike targets in Russia and raise the costs of continued attacks.
The broader picture is of a conflict increasingly shaped by industrial capacity: which side can build and field more long-range munitions and the systems to defend against them.
Indicators to watch include any public Russian testing or deployment footage of Dan-T, satellite imagery hinting at new missile production facilities, and decisions by Ukraine’s supporters on funding additional air-defense batteries and radar coverage. Independent confirmation of the true scale of Dan-T production would be a key sign of how much more intense long-range strikes could become by 2027.
Sources
- OSINT