Published: · Last updated: with original publication · Severity: WARNING · Category: Breaking

Developing · This alert is based on incoming reports. Details may change; independent verification status is not recorded.

US suffers nationwide comms, internet and air traffic outage

Severity: WARNING
Detected: 2026-11-13T22:38:04.801Z

Summary

The US is experiencing simultaneous nationwide flight ground stops, air traffic control radar/radio failures, and widespread internet/communications outages of unknown cause or duration. This materially lifts global risk aversion and safe‑haven demand, while implying short‑term US jet fuel demand destruction and potential vulnerability of critical infrastructure.

Details

Multiple, converging reports over the last hour indicate a rare and severe disruption to US critical infrastructure: the FAA has imposed a nationwide ground stop on all departures due to widespread losses of ATC frequencies and radar capabilities, with no estimated time of resolution, and the National Weather Service and others are reporting widespread internet and communications outages across the United States. Law enforcement sources are preliminarily downplaying a cyberattack, but the cause remains unclear, and regulators have no timeline to lift restrictions. This event is only the second nationwide halt since 9/11, and is broader because it coincides with systemic comms degradation.

On the commodity side, the most direct effect is immediate, but temporary, demand destruction for aviation fuel. With nearly all US departures halted and ~7,000 flights already delayed or cancelled, daily US jet fuel consumption (normally ~1.6–1.8 mb/d) could see a 10–30% hit for as long as the disruption persists. If the ground stop and knock‑on schedule disruption last 24–48 hours, this is likely a transitory effect measured in several hundred thousand barrels of deferred demand, not a structural loss, but it leans mildly bearish for refined products and crack spreads in the very short term.

The more important market impact is risk premium. Simultaneous national failures of radar, ATC communications, and wide internet outages will be interpreted as a serious vulnerability of US critical infrastructure, regardless of whether the cause proves to be technical error or hostile action. This tends to support: (1) higher gold and other safe‑haven assets; (2) a modest bid to US Treasuries versus equities; (3) a risk‑off tone in cyclicals and transport‑linked equities; and (4) some safe‑haven FX bid in USD and JPY versus EM and high‑beta FX, although if the event is framed as a uniquely US systems failure, USD could underperform other havens on the margin.

There is no evidence yet of direct physical disruption to energy production, pipelines, or export terminals, nor of maritime chokepoint interference, so crude and LNG should react mainly via macro risk sentiment rather than supply fundamentals. Historical precedent from NOTAM/ATC outages and the 9/11 shutdowns suggests aviation demand normalizes quickly once systems are restored, while the risk‑premium effect on gold and volatility can persist for days if the cause remains opaque.

AFFECTED ASSETS: Jet fuel cracks, RBOB gasoline futures, Brent Crude, WTI Crude, Gold, S&P 500 index, Airline equities (US majors), VIX, USD index (DXY), USD/JPY, High-yield credit ETFs

Sources

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