# [7D] US–Israel Conduct Large Coordinated Strike Package Against Iranian Targets

*Issued Saturday, May 16, 2026 at 12:21 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-16T12:21:02.240Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-23T12:21:02.240Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 61% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Iran, Iraq, Syria, Gulf States, Eastern Mediterranean
**Affected Assets**: Brent Crude, WTI Crude, regional equities, defense sector stocks
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/9848.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 7 days, the US and Israel are likely to execute the reported largest strike package against Iran since the last ceasefire, targeting IRGC infrastructure, missile and drone sites, and potentially naval assets related to Hormuz control. The operation will likely involve stand-off munitions, cyber elements, and possible covert support from regional basing, aiming to degrade Iran's capacity for rapid re-escalation. Iran will respond with missile and drone attacks against US and allied facilities in the region and perhaps attempts at harassment of shipping, but will likely try to avoid a full-scale prolonged war given domestic economic strain. The risk of miscalculation leading to broader regional conflict will materially increase during and immediately after the strikes.

## Drivers

- NYT-sourced report that US and Israel are preparing the largest strike package as early as next week
- Iranian statements about preparing for resumed war and hardening its Hormuz posture
- Historical pattern of US-Israel coordinated operations when Iranian threats escalate
- High oil prices reflecting a market expectation of substantial risk of new strikes