# [24H] Russian Drone and Missile Strikes on Western Ukrainian Energy and Rail to Continue

*Issued Wednesday, May 13, 2026 at 9:30 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-13T09:30:35.480Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-14T09:30:35.480Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Western Ukraine, Central Ukraine, Black Sea-adjacent regions of Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Ukrainian rail infrastructure, Electric power substations and transmission lines, Air defense missile stockpiles, Black Sea export logistics
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/9371.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

---

## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Russia is likely to launch at least one additional large-scale drone and/or missile wave targeting western and central Ukrainian rail hubs and energy infrastructure. The presence of over 100 drones already in Ukrainian airspace and recent hits on power assets in Poltava and rail in Dnipro/Kharkiv indicate an ongoing operational cycle rather than a single-night surge. Strikes against Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, and other western nodes are probable as Russia seeks to disrupt logistics and power supply feeding the front and export corridors. A lower-intensity outcome could occur if Russian stockpiles or weather temporarily constrain launch tempo.

## Drivers

- Mass Russian drone swarm of 150–200 UAVs reported
- Confirmed strikes on rail, ports, and energy in multiple regions
- EUCOM assessment labeling the current period as one of the heaviest UAV attack nights
- Emerging trend of escalation in long-range drone and missile duel