# [7D] Russian Ground Forces Attempt Limited Offensives Near Siversk and Huliaipole Under Airstrike Umbrella

*Issued Wednesday, May 13, 2026 at 3:30 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-13T03:30:55.707Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-20T03:30:55.707Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Donetsk Oblast, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Eastern Ukraine front line
**Affected Assets**: Front-line urban areas and agricultural land, Ukrainian and Russian ground combat units
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/9347.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the coming 7 days, Russia is likely to couple its renewed missile and drone strikes with limited ground offensives near Siversk and Huliaipole to exploit any Ukrainian disruption or ammunition strain. Recent reports of resumed fighting and truce termination in these sectors point to preparation for incremental territorial gains rather than a major breakthrough. The offensive will rely heavily on artillery, TOS-2 thermobaric systems, and small-unit assaults, causing high local destruction but limited strategic change. Ukrainian forces will likely hold main defensive lines but incur notable attrition.

## Drivers

- Reports of fighting resuming near Siversk and Huliaipole
- High-intensity Russian TOS-2 strikes in Zaporizhzhia region
- Trend of post-ceasefire Russian escalation consolidating an attritional campaign