# [24H] WTI and Brent Crude Remain Elevated Above $95–$100 Range Amid Hormuz and Iran Missile Risks

*Issued Wednesday, May 13, 2026 at 3:30 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-13T03:30:55.707Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-14T03:30:55.707Z (20h from now)
**Category**: ECONOMIC | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: volatile
**Affected Regions**: Global, Gulf region, Major importers in Asia and Europe
**Affected Assets**: WTI crude, Brent crude, Energy equities and high-yield energy credit, Tanker day rates in the Gulf
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/9341.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, WTI and Brent are likely to trade at or above the $95–$100 range, supported by Iran’s restored missile capacity, controlled Hormuz access model, and Trump’s rejection of Iran’s proposal. Markets will price a persistent risk premium tied to potential disruptions or cost increases in Hormuz transit rather than an immediate full blockade. Any additional Russian strikes on Ukrainian or Russian energy infrastructure will further reinforce bullish sentiment. Price volatility intraday will be high, but a sharp retracement below the low-$90s is unlikely without a clear de-escalatory signal.

## Drivers

- Recent move of WTI above $100 on U.S.–Iran tension and rejection of Iran’s proposal
- Iran’s shift to monetized, controlled Hormuz access while retaining 70% of missile arsenal
- UN navigation resolution and US–China anti-toll stance indicating prolonged standoff around rules