# [24H] Ukrainian Drone and Glide-Bomb Strikes on Russian Border Regions Continue

*Issued Tuesday, May 12, 2026 at 10:23 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-12T10:23:48.676Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-13T10:23:48.676Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: MEDIUM
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kursk Oblast, Belgorod Oblast, Sumy Oblast, Northeast Ukraine, Western Russia
**Affected Assets**: Russian border logistics hubs, Air-defense radars, Local civilian infrastructure in border towns
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/9254.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Ukraine is likely to conduct further drone and precision glide-bomb attacks on Russian border-adjacent military infrastructure, particularly in Kursk and possibly Belgorod regions. Targets will include logistics hubs, radar installations, and air-defense sites such as around Tetkino, continuing a tit-for-tat dynamic following Russia’s mass drone raids. These strikes will be limited in scale but will serve strategic messaging purposes, bolstering Ukrainian domestic morale and pressuring Russian border defenses. Russia will respond with additional air-defense launches and propaganda emphasizing cross-border attacks.

## Drivers

- Recent Ukrainian glide-bomb attacks on Tetkino/Kursk
- Russian reporting of dozens of Ukrainian drones over Russia overnight
- Kyiv’s stated intention for 'mirror' or 'symmetric' responses
- Pattern of Ukrainian attacks on Russian logistics and radar nodes