# [24H] IDF Conducts Sustained Multi‑Hour Air Operation Across Southern Lebanon

*Issued Monday, May 11, 2026 at 8:42 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-11T08:42:57.127Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-12T08:42:57.127Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Southern Lebanon, Western Beqaa, Lebanon, Northern Israel
**Affected Assets**: Israeli defense equities, Lebanese sovereign risk, Regional risk assets
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/9097.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the next 24 hours, Israel is likely to continue the already-declared multi‑hour wave of airstrikes across multiple southern Lebanese villages, including areas slightly beyond the usual border belt. Strikes will focus on Hezbollah infrastructure, launch sites, and suspected storage areas, with some limited ground raids or special forces incursions near the border possible. The pre-announced evacuations of nine Lebanese villages suggest Israel will try to reduce civilian casualties while maintaining operational intensity. This will stop short of a full-scale ground invasion but mark a clear step up from routine cross‑border exchanges.

## Drivers

- Multiple alerts on expanded Israeli strikes and evacuations in southern Lebanon and Western Beqaa
- Emerging trend that Lebanon front is shifting toward systematic drone warfare and infrastructure punishment
- Recent IDF casualty on the border and Hezbollah drone attacks on Iron Dome
- Declared expectation of multi‑hour raid wave by Israeli media