# [24H] Short-Term Power and Service Disruptions in Southern Lebanon from Ongoing Airstrikes

*Issued Monday, May 11, 2026 at 2:46 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-11T02:46:25.743Z (6h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-12T02:46:25.743Z (18h from now)
**Category**: HUMANITARIAN | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Nabatieh Governorate, Jezzine District, Southern Lebanon
**Affected Assets**: Electrical substations and power lines, Water pumping and treatment facilities, Civilian telecom infrastructure
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/9074.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the coming 24 hours, southern Lebanon, especially around Nabatieh and Jezzine, is likely to experience continuing power outages and interruptions to basic services due to repeated Israeli strikes on energy infrastructure. Repair crews will be constrained by security risks and the possibility of follow-on strikes. Civilians in affected districts will increasingly rely on generators and informal networks for water and communications. International humanitarian agencies will issue warnings but are unlikely to pivot large-scale resources within such a short window.

## Drivers

- Recent confirmed strikes on a power station near Nabatieh and resulting Jezzine power outage
- Ongoing intense Israeli air campaign in Lebanon spanning multiple days
- Hezbollah drone attack on Iron Dome likely prompting Israeli retaliatory targeting
- Pattern of critical infrastructure being hit in border escalations