# [24H] Gold and Safe-Haven Assets See Inflows on Middle East Escalation Fears

*Issued Monday, May 11, 2026 at 2:46 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-11T02:46:25.743Z (6h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-12T02:46:25.743Z (18h from now)
**Category**: ECONOMIC | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Global financial markets
**Affected Assets**: Gold, US Dollar Index (DXY), US Treasuries, Swiss franc
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/9072.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, gold prices and other traditional safe-haven assets (notably the US dollar and high-grade sovereign bonds) are likely to see net inflows. The combination of a downed US drone, open contention over Hormuz, and threats of further confrontation will increase geopolitical risk hedging. This aligns with the emerging trend of energy chokepoint crises driving gold hedging and diversification. If markets perceive imminent US kinetic action against Iranian assets, the move into safe havens will be more pronounced.

## Drivers

- Emerging trend that Strait of Hormuz conflict accelerates gold hedging behavior
- New US–Iran kinetic incident and public breakdown of nuclear/ceasefire talks
- Escalating Israel–Hezbollah confrontation undermining regional stability
- Historical correlation between Gulf tensions and gold price spikes