# [24H] Gold and US dollar see safe-haven inflows on mounting Gulf and Levant risks

*Issued Sunday, May 10, 2026 at 3:59 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-10T03:59:23.693Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-11T03:59:23.693Z (22h from now)
**Category**: ECONOMIC | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Global financial markets, Gulf Cooperation Council markets, Levant
**Affected Assets**: Gold, US Dollar Index (DXY), US Treasuries, Middle East equities and sovereign bonds
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/8960.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the next 24 hours, gold prices and the US dollar index are likely to experience moderate safe-haven inflows as traders react to the compounded risk of US–Iran confrontation in Hormuz and intensifying IDF–Hezbollah clashes. Treasury yields may dip slightly on flight-to-quality dynamics. Risk assets with high Middle East exposure, particularly regional equity indices and high-yield credits, will underperform broader benchmarks. However, the move will likely be incremental rather than a full-blown risk-off, pending actual strikes on major US bases or closure of shipping lanes.

## Drivers

- Repeated IRGC threats of direct strikes on US bases and ships
- US and UK military deployments indicating anticipation of a prolonged crisis
- Expanded IDF ground advances in Lebanon raising regional conflict fears
- Emerging trends highlighting energy chokepoint risk and cross-theater drone warfare