# [7D] Ukrainian deep-strike campaign expands target set to additional Russian refineries and logistics hubs

*Issued Friday, May 8, 2026 at 6:43 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-08T06:43:03.831Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-15T06:43:03.831Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Volga Federal District, Ural region, Southern Russia (Krasnodar, Black Sea coast), Major Ukrainian cities and power grid
**Affected Assets**: Russian refineries and oil depots, Pipeline compressor and dispatch stations, Ukrainian power plants and transmission nodes
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/8704.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, Ukraine is likely to expand its deep‑strike drone and missile campaign to at least one additional major Russian refinery or oil logistics hub beyond Perm, Yaroslavl, and Rostov. The pattern suggests a deliberate effort to degrade Russian refined product export capacity and logistics nodes in a distributed fashion, forcing Russia to stretch its air defenses. Targets in Volga, Ural, or Black Sea regions are plausible due to range and impact potential. Russia will respond with intensified air-defense deployments and retaliatory long‑range strikes on Ukrainian energy and industrial infrastructure.

## Drivers

- Emerging trend: Ukraine’s deep-strike drone campaign systematically eroding Russian rear infrastructure
- Recent strikes on multiple dispersed sites (Perm, Rostov, Yaroslavl, Grozny)
- Doctrinal emphasis on economic warfare via energy targets
- Demonstrated long-range drone capabilities reaching deep Russian territory