# [24H] Continued Ukrainian Deep-Strike UAV Campaign Against Russian Energy and Logistics Nodes

*Issued Thursday, May 7, 2026 at 9:46 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-07T09:46:43.978Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-08T09:46:43.978Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Central and Western Russia, Eastern and Central Ukraine, Baltic Sea region (overflight risk)
**Affected Assets**: Russian refineries (Perm, Krasnodar Krai, Bryansk region), Russian rail logistics hubs, Ukrainian power and rail infrastructure
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/8530.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Ukraine is likely to launch additional long-range UAV strikes on Russian refineries and military-logistics hubs in the next 24 hours, building on the reported hits in Perm and Naro-Fominsk. Target priorities will remain refineries, fuel depots, and rail/road transfer points serving the war effort, consistent with the intercepted SBU directive to prioritize export supply chains. Russian air defenses will intercept most drones, but at least one additional facility is likely to suffer some physical damage or operational disruption. Russia may respond with increased strikes on Ukrainian energy and rail infrastructure, maintaining the current escalation plateau.

## Drivers

- Intercepted SBU report prioritizing deep strikes on Russian export supply chains
- Recent confirmed and claimed Ukrainian drones hitting Perm refinery and Nara logistics complex
- Emerging trend of mutual deep-strike normalization around symbolic dates
- Russian claim of 347 drones shot down indicating high tempo of UAV operations