# [24H] Russia–Ukraine Deep-Strike Drone Campaign Continues With At Least One New Energy Infrastructure Hit

*Issued Monday, May 4, 2026 at 1:13 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-04T13:13:09.105Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-05T13:13:09.105Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Western Russia, Eastern and Central Ukraine, Black Sea hinterland
**Affected Assets**: Russian midstream oil infrastructure, Ukrainian energy and logistics hubs, Rail and fuel depots
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/8098.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, at least one additional significant drone or missile strike on energy or logistics infrastructure in Russia or Ukraine is likely, maintaining the ongoing pattern of deep-strike economic warfare. Following confirmed damage at Russia’s Gorky oil pumping station and frequent refinery/energy attacks, both sides will seek to sustain pressure on critical nodes. The attack is more likely to be a Ukrainian drone strike on Russian oil, fuel, or logistics assets than vice versa, given recent tempo and political signaling. Contrarian scenario: extreme weather or temporary technical constraints slow drone operations, leading to a short-lived lull in deep strikes.

## Drivers

- Confirmed drone damage at Transneft’s Gorky pumping station
- Sustained trend of mutual precision drone and missile warfare targeting energy assets
- Reports of hundreds of drones intercepted indicate high ongoing launch volume