# [24H] Renewed Russian Drone and Missile Strikes on Ukrainian Energy Infrastructure

*Issued Friday, May 1, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-05-01T23:21:20.013Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-05-02T23:21:20.013Z (20h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Central Ukraine, Donetsk region, Odesa region, Mykolaiv region
**Affected Assets**: Ukrainian power grid, Rail logistics, Odesa port operations, Regional electricity markets
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/7388.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, Russia is likely to conduct at least one additional wave of drone and/or missile strikes targeting Ukrainian substations and power infrastructure in central and eastern Ukraine. The pattern of repeated attacks on substations near Myrnohrad, central Ukraine, and Odesa port indicates an intent to systematically degrade the grid and logistics nodes. Ukraine’s air defenses will intercept a portion of incoming drones, but some additional damage to distribution networks and repair crews’ workloads is probable. Short-term localized blackouts and rail disruptions in affected oblasts are likely but will remain manageable at the national level.

## Drivers

- Recent Russian strikes on multiple Ukrainian substations and central Ukraine targets
- Ongoing campaign against Odesa port and logistics infrastructure
- Trend of energy-focused targeting documented in emerging trends on reciprocal energy warfare