# [24H] Russia Follows 295-Drone Barrage With Additional Limited Strikes on Ukrainian Energy Nodes

*Issued Friday, September 25, 2026 at 7:13 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-25T07:13:33.624Z (1h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-26T07:13:33.624Z (23h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Ukraine, Belarus Airspace, Black Sea Region
**Affected Assets**: Ukrainian power grid infrastructure, Civil aviation in Eastern Europe, Ukrainian government bonds
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/26347.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, Russia is likely to conduct at least one follow-on strike package—drones or missiles—against Ukrainian urban or energy targets, though at a smaller scale than the 295-drone wave. The aim will be to exploit any air-defense gaps exposed overnight and maintain psychological pressure on major cities like Kyiv and Odesa. This will deepen strain on Ukrainian air-defense missile stocks and force continued dispersal of power-generation and repair assets. Confirmation would come from renewed large-scale air-raid alerts and multiple Shahed/Geran or cruise-missile launches; disconfirmation would be a complete absence of Russian long-range strikes for a full day, which has been rare during high-intensity phases.

## Drivers

- Documented 295-drone Russian wave, one of the largest of the war
- Trend of Russia’s systematic targeting of Ukrainian urban and energy systems before winter
- Russian doctrine favoring salvo follow-ons to exploit newly mapped defenses