# [24H] Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Urban Infrastructure Likely to Expand Blackouts and Internet Outages

*Issued Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 3:33 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-23T15:33:23.405Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-24T15:33:23.405Z (21h from now)
**Category**: HUMANITARIAN | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kyiv, Sumy, Northeastern and Central Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Urban power grids, Telecom and internet service providers, Civilian medical and emergency-response systems
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/26141.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

---

## Prediction

Following recent attacks that caused major outages in Kyiv and Sumy, Russian strikes are likely to generate additional blackouts and internet disruptions in Ukrainian cities within 24 hours. Civilian access to banking, emergency services, and telemedicine will be degraded, raising casualty risk in any concurrent kinetic events. The psychological effect will be significant as winter approaches, driving further urban displacement and demand for backup power and Starlink-type connectivity. Confirmation would be fresh Ukrainian or ISP reporting of service degradation across multiple oblasts; an uncharacteristic pause in long-range strikes would challenge this forecast.

## Drivers

- Recent Geran and KAB strikes causing widespread internet outages in Kyiv and Sumy
- Sustained trend of Russia institutionalizing jet-drone terror against urban fuel and transit spines
- EUCOM threat rating at HIGH