# [24H] Iranian Proxies Likely to Attempt Additional Strikes on Saudi Energy Assets Within 24 Hours

*Issued Monday, September 14, 2026 at 6:01 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-14T18:01:39.293Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-15T18:01:39.293Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Gulf of Aden, Red Sea, Strait of Hormuz
**Affected Assets**: Saudi Aramco facilities, Brent Crude, Dubai/Oman benchmarks, tanker insurance premia, energy infrastructure equities
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/24904.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within the next day, at least one additional indirect or proxy strike attempt against Saudi energy or military infrastructure is likely, following the reported Houthi hit near Abha and the shutdown of the East–West pipeline. The most exposed targets are secondary Aramco facilities, export terminals, or air bases tied to air defense and tanker protection. Successful attacks would deepen Saudi vulnerability perceptions, justify expanded US force deployments, and further militarize Hormuz and the Red Sea corridors. A confirmed follow-on strike claim with geolocated damage would confirm this forecast; a visible lull in cross‑border activity and tightened Saudi air defenses intercepting all attempts would weaken it.

## Drivers

- Houthi strike damaging Saudi Aramco plant near Abha with 2 km oil spill
- Houthis claiming large attack on Saudi air base
- Saudi East–West pipeline shutdown and concentration of flows through Hormuz
- Trend: weaponization of Hormuz–Bab el‑Mandab chokepoints and Houthi consolidation on Red Sea littoral