# [7D] BRICS States and Iran Exploit Energy Turmoil to Promote Non-Western Trade Mechanisms

*Issued Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 1:44 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-13T13:44:48.021Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-20T13:44:48.021Z (7d from now)
**Category**: GEOPOLITICAL | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: BRICS member states, Middle East, Sub-Saharan Africa, Global financial centers
**Affected Assets**: US dollar share in energy trade, Alternative payment systems (e.g., CIPS, local currency swaps), State-owned oil companies in BRICS and aligned states
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/24772.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, leading BRICS members (China, India, Russia) and Iran are likely to use the combined Hormuz and Saudi pipeline crises to advocate more forcefully for alternative payment systems, insurance arrangements, and trade routes outside Western control. Public statements at forums and bilateral meetings will frame Western-dominated maritime chokepoints and sanctions regimes as systemic vulnerabilities, promoting BRICS-linked financial rails and regional energy corridors. Strategically, this can accelerate gradual de-dollarization in some energy trades and deepen political alignment among states skeptical of US-led security guarantees. Confirmation would be new announcements of BRICS-backed energy clearing mechanisms or corridor initiatives tied explicitly to current disruptions; disconfirmation would be silence on these themes as the crisis unfolds.

## Drivers

- Emerging trend: BRICS consolidation to dilute Western economic primacy
- INDOPACOM brief on China using BRICS summit to lead AI and tech cooperation
- Iran’s confrontational stance on Hormuz and alignment with Russia
- AFRICOM reporting on African states seeking deeper integration with BRICS