# [24H] Russia Continues Glide-Bomb and Drone Barrage on Western Ukrainian Rail Arteries

*Issued Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 7:45 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-13T07:45:02.415Z (1h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-14T07:45:02.415Z (23h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 78% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Western Ukraine, Central Ukraine, Black Sea region, Eastern Poland, Slovakia, Romania
**Affected Assets**: Ukrainian Rail Network, Ukrainian Fuel Depots, Black Sea Grain Exports, CEE Road Freight and Insurance, Ukrainian Military Logistics
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/24731.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Russian forces are likely to sustain at least one additional large-scale drone/KAB strike package targeting western and central Ukrainian rail hubs, depots, and fuel sites in the next 24 hours. This will further disrupt operations in nodes such as Lutsk, Dubno, Stryi, Brody, and Khmelnytskyi, forcing Ukraine to slow or reroute troop rotations and export flows toward EU borders. Strategically, this tests Ukraine’s ability to maintain front-line resupply and undermines European confidence in the resilience of overland logistics that backfill constrained Black Sea routes. Confirmation would be fresh impacts or interceptions over the same or adjacent rail/fuel nodes; denial would be a clear pause in Russian long-range strikes despite available launch capacity.

## Drivers

- Reported 19-hour Geran and KAB glide-bomb campaign across western and central Ukraine
- Recent hits on Lutsk, Dubno, Fastiv, Sarny, Brody, Stryi, and Zdolbuniv rail nodes
- Emerging trend: Russia broadens systematic fuel and rail targeting to paralyze Ukrainian mobility