# [24H] Iranian Rial Slides Further as War Pressures and Sanctions Fears Deepen

*Issued Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 1:44 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-12T13:44:50.907Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-13T13:44:50.907Z (21h from now)
**Category**: ECONOMIC | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Iran, Gulf region, Turkey, United Arab Emirates
**Affected Assets**: Iranian rial (IRR), Onshore gold and property markets in Iran, Iranian oil export volumes (shadow fleet), Local food and fuel prices inside Iran
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/24655.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, the Iranian rial is likely to weaken further beyond the recent 2.37 million per USD mark in the open market as domestic actors anticipate harsher sanctions following U.S. accusations about Chinese satellite support and Iranian strikes. Expectations of potential disruption to Iranian oil exports and heightened regional risk will drive capital into dollars and hard assets inside Iran. This will further erode purchasing power, amplify inflation, and heighten popular frustration, indirectly constraining Tehran’s fiscal room for regional operations. Confirmation would be black-market quotes drifting significantly weaker and increased social media chatter on dollar scarcity; denial would require visible central bank interventions that stabilize or strengthen the rate.

## Drivers

- Warning that the rial has hit a fresh record low around 2.37 million per USD
- Mounting U.S. rhetoric tying Iran, China, and lethal strikes on U.S. troops
- Heightened perceptions of future sanctions and export disruption