# [7D] European and Turkish Steelmakers Gain Pricing Power From Ukrainian Output Disruptions

*Issued Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 1:48 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-12T01:48:11.315Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-19T01:48:11.315Z (7d from now)
**Category**: ECONOMIC | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: MEDIUM
**Risk Direction**: volatile
**Affected Regions**: European Union, Turkey, Ukraine, MENA Importing States
**Affected Assets**: European HRC and CRC, Turkish Rebar and Long Products, Steel Slab/Billet Trade Flows, Freight Rates in Black Sea–Med Routes
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/24609.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, deeper market recognition of damage and risk to Ukrainian steel plants will give European and Turkish mills greater latitude to raise prices and secure longer-term contracts, especially for flat products and slab. Import-dependent buyers in MENA and Southern Europe will diversify sourcing away from the Black Sea, supporting higher margins for non-Ukrainian producers. Confirmation would be announcements of price hikes, longer order books, and reduced offers from Ukrainian exporters; a contrary trend would appear if Ukraine manages swift repairs and uses rail to redirect exports through alternative ports with minimal loss of volume.

## Drivers

- Strikes on Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, and Kamianske industrial zones
- Assessments noting likely widening of European steel premia
- Sustained threat to Ukrainian rear-area logistics and export routes