# [24H] Iran Likely to Fire Additional Missiles at US-Linked Targets Within 24 Hours

*Issued Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 5:09 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-09T17:09:57.102Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-10T17:09:57.102Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Jordan, Iraq, Syria, Iran, Gulf region
**Affected Assets**: US forward-deployed forces, Jordanian security facilities, Patriot and THAAD missile inventories, Aegis-equipped naval vessels
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/24278.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within the next 24 hours, Iran is likely to launch at least one further missile or drone salvo against US-linked bases in Jordan, Iraq, or Syria to demonstrate it can absorb US tanker losses and still strike back. US and partner forces at Muwaffaq Salti, Al-Azraq, and Ein al-Asad become primary targets, with elevated risk to host-nation personnel. This would deepen the perception of a sustained limited war, forcing the US to either absorb strikes or escalate into Iranian territory, and increasing pressure on regional governments hosting US forces. Confirmation would be new missile launches claimed by the IRGC or tracked by CENTCOM; denial would be Tehran signaling a pause via Omani or Qatari channels and a full 24-hour absence of Iranian launches.

## Drivers

- Recent 20-missile Iranian strike on Al-Azraq base in Jordan
- IRGC missile attempts on a US warship near Hormuz over past two days
- Public Iranian commitment to retaliate for US sinking of oil tankers
- Emerging trend of structured Iran–US limited war via missile salvos