# [7D] Ukraine Expands Long-Range Drone Campaign Deeper Into Russian Refinery and Logistics Network

*Issued Monday, September 7, 2026 at 2:52 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-07T14:52:07.442Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-14T14:52:07.442Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Russia (Ryazan, Perm, Tatarstan, other industrial regions), Black Sea region, Central and Eastern Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Urals crude exports, Russian refined products (diesel, gasoline, jet fuel), Pipeline and rail fuel logistics, Energy infrastructure insurance markets
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/23961.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, Ukraine is likely to launch additional long-range drone and missile strikes against Russian oil refineries, depots, and logistics hubs beyond 2,000 km, building on recent hits in Ryazan, Perm, and Tatarstan. These attacks will incrementally impair Russian refining capacity, disrupt internal fuel logistics, and increase insurance and security costs for energy infrastructure. The campaign will also invite retaliatory Russian strikes on Ukrainian industrial and energy assets, deepening the economic-war character of the conflict. Confirmation would be geolocated damage at new Russian energy sites or logistics hubs; denial would be a sudden Ukrainian moratorium on deep strikes, possibly tied to emerging diplomatic dynamics.

## Drivers

- Ukraine’s confirmation of long-range strikes on multiple Russian refineries and logistics sites
- Demonstrated capability to reach beyond 2,000 km
- Strategic trend of mutual economic and infrastructure targeting