# [24H] Moscow and Washington Signal Procedural Openness to Trilateral Russia–Ukraine–US Talks

*Issued Monday, September 7, 2026 at 2:52 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-07T14:52:07.442Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-08T14:52:07.442Z (22h from now)
**Category**: GEOPOLITICAL | **Confidence**: 60% | **Impact**: MEDIUM
**Risk Direction**: volatile
**Affected Regions**: Russia, Ukraine, United States, EU capitals (Berlin, Paris, Brussels)
**Affected Assets**: European defense equities, Euro, Russian OFZ and Eurobonds (secondary markets), Ukrainian sovereign debt
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/23953.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, Russian and at least one U.S. channel are likely to issue carefully worded statements keeping the door open to future trilateral talks, without committing to a timeline. Kyiv will respond cautiously positive but insist that any format preserve Ukrainian sovereignty and Western security guarantees. This will not change battlefield realities immediately, but it will reframe parts of the diplomatic discourse in Europe and financial markets toward a slightly higher probability of a negotiated endgame over a multi-quarter horizon. Confirmation would be additional comments by Peskov, U.S. State/NSC, or Ukrainian officials referencing renewed 'formats' or 'frameworks'; denial would be hard-line statements rejecting any talks until maximalist conditions are met.

## Drivers

- Peskov statement not ruling out resumption of Russia–Ukraine–US peace talks
- Recent visits by Kushner and Witkoff to Moscow and Kyiv
- Emerging trend of 'US-mediated Russia–Ukraine diplomacy resurfaces'