# [24H] Russian Missile and Drone Strikes on Ukrainian Cities Persist Despite Declared Ceasefire

*Issued Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 4:21 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-05T04:21:04.630Z (32m ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-06T04:21:04.630Z (23h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Ukraine, Russia, Eastern Europe, EU
**Affected Assets**: European natural gas futures (TTF), EU power utilities, Steel and metals producers in Ukraine and EU, War-risk insurance for Eastern Europe, Ukrainian sovereign and quasi-sovereign debt
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/23597.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within the next 24 hours, Russia is likely to continue missile and Shahed drone strikes against Ukrainian urban and industrial targets despite Kyiv’s unilateral ceasefire order. Expect additional launches toward Dnipro, Kamianske, and potentially Kyiv’s security and logistics infrastructure, exploiting Ukraine’s reduced frontline activity. This will further erode any remaining credibility of the ceasefire framework and complicate security guarantees for visiting foreign delegations. Confirmation would be new verified strikes or air-raid alerts on major cities; denial would be an observable halt in Russian long-range launches for a full 24-hour cycle.

## Drivers

- Confirmed Iskander and KN-23 strikes on Dnipro and Kamianske hours after ceasefire start
- Reported Shahed drone strike on SBU headquarters in Kyiv
- Emerging trend: mutual deep-strike ‘infrastructure air war’ between Russia and Ukraine
- Reports that Ukrainian ceasefire is unilateral and already collapsing under Russian fire