# [24H] Iranian Missile and Drone Follow-On Salvos Against U.S. Gulf Bases Likely Overnight

*Issued Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 12:39 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-03T12:39:33.214Z (25m ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-04T12:39:33.214Z (24h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Strait of Hormuz, Wider Gulf
**Affected Assets**: Brent Crude, WTI Crude, Dubai Crude, Aramco and ADNOC-linked energy equities, U.S. defense sector equities, Kuwaiti Dinar, UAE Dirham (forwards and CDS)
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/23356.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, Iran’s IRGC is likely to launch at least one additional limited missile or drone salvo against U.S.-linked facilities in Kuwait or the UAE to demonstrate persistence after its claimed initial strikes. U.S. forces and host-nation militaries will focus on air and missile defense, base dispersal, and hardening of communications nodes, while limiting visible casualties. Strategically, repeated but calibrated attacks entrench a state of ongoing low-to-mid intensity conflict that normalizes strikes on U.S. forces hosted by key oil exporters, raising pressure on Gulf governments to recalibrate their U.S. basing posture. This forecast would be confirmed by launch warnings, NOTAMs, or intercept reports from Kuwait/UAE militaries; it would be disproven if Tehran publicly frames the prior strikes as a completed, one-off response and de-escalates via backchannels.

## Drivers

- IRGC public claims of missile and drone attacks on U.S. bases in Kuwait and UAE
- Ongoing U.S. strike campaign inside Iran with Iranian pilots and navy personnel killed
- Iranian domestic pressure for visible retaliation
- Pattern of tit-for-tat but limited responses in prior U.S.–Iran confrontations