# [24H] Iranian Missile–Drone Barrages on US Gulf Bases Likely to Continue in Next 24 Hours

*Issued Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 12:09 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-02T00:09:23.006Z (51m ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-03T00:09:23.006Z (23h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Jordan, Iraqi Kurdistan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Persian Gulf, Red Sea approaches
**Affected Assets**: US forward‑deployed air assets in CENTCOM, Patriot and THAAD interceptor stocks, Gulf commercial aviation routes, Port of Aqaba operations
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/23147.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Iran is likely to launch at least one follow‑on missile or drone salvo against US‑linked facilities in Jordan, Iraq’s Kurdistan Region, Bahrain, or Kuwait within 24 hours, aiming to signal resolve after US strikes on southern Iran and Hormozgan’s power grid. US and host‑nation air defenses will probably intercept most inbound weapons, keeping casualties low but sustaining alarm near key air and naval hubs. Continued barrages will harden US force protection postures, disrupt flight operations and training cycles, and increase pressure on Gulf hosts over basing exposure. Confirmation would be radar‑tracked launches from Iran and additional intercept/siren events around Aqaba, Erbil, Bahrain, or Kuwait; denial would be a clear public pause in Iranian firing coupled with diplomatic messaging of restraint.

## Drivers

- Documented large coordinated IRGC salvo on US‑linked bases in Jordan, KRG, Bahrain, and Kuwait
- US strikes degrading IRGC naval, radar, and mine‑laying assets at Bandar Abbas, Jask, Chabahar, Konarak
- Iranian official claims of heavy US losses, incentivizing visible follow‑through for domestic audience
- CENTCOM theater assessment labeling threat CRITICAL with ongoing exchange around Hormuz and Jordan