# [24H] U.S. Air and Missile Strikes on IRGC Coastal Assets to Expand Along Southern Iran

*Issued Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 6:14 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-09-01T18:14:26.980Z (32m ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-02T18:14:26.980Z (23h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 80% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Southern Iran, Gulf of Oman, Strait of Hormuz
**Affected Assets**: IRGC coastal missile batteries, Iranian naval facilities, Kharg Island export logistics (as potential follow-on target), Regional U.S. airbases
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/23121.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, U.S. forces are likely to broaden their strike package against IRGC coastal missile, radar, and naval assets along Iran’s southern littoral, including around Jask, Konarak, Sirik, and Qeshm. This will degrade some Iranian coastal A2/AD capabilities but will not fully neutralize Iran’s large missile arsenal, incentivizing Tehran to rely more on mobile launchers and proxy attacks. Expanded strikes raise the risk of collateral damage to nearby port and energy infrastructure, potentially causing unintentional disruptions in Iranian export capacity and civilian casualties that harden Iranian public resolve. Confirmation would be additional CENTCOM releases and geolocated imagery of fresh strike sites; a sudden halt in reported U.S. sorties and explicit White House messaging about a completed “limited operation” would weaken this forecast.

## Drivers

- CENTCOM confirmation of ongoing U.S. strikes across multiple southern Iran locations
- Trump’s threats of ‘much harder and higher’ follow-on blows and leaving ‘very little’ of the regime
- Intelligence noting use of Tomahawks and ATACMS from the Gulf region
- Persistent Iranian missile launches and threats of massive retaliation