# [24H] Follow-On Iranian Missile and Drone Waves Against US Assets Likely Before Dawn

*Issued Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-08-30T22:42:22.172Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-08-31T22:42:22.172Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Jordan, Gulf of Oman, Strait of Hormuz, Eastern Iraq, Iranian coastal provinces
**Affected Assets**: US forward-deployed aircraft and air defense systems, US Navy surface combatants and logistics vessels, Jordanian air bases and support infrastructure
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/22856.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within the next 24 hours, Iran is likely to launch at least one additional wave of ballistic or cruise missiles and/or large drone swarms against US forces in Jordan or naval assets around the Gulf of Oman and Strait of Hormuz. Targets will likely include Muwaffaq Salti Air Base and US vessels perceived as involved in the Larak strike, aiming to demonstrate sustained retaliatory capacity. This would raise immediate risk to US and partner forces, test regional air defenses, and further increase pressure on US decision-makers to choose between punitive strikes and containment. Confirmation would be new launch reports from Iranian territory, visible intercepts over Jordan or the Gulf, and US or Iranian claims of additional engagements; denial would be an announced ceasefire initiative or verifiable stand-down of Iranian launch platforms.

## Drivers

- Ongoing mass Iranian missile salvos targeting US bases in Jordan and US ships in Oman waters
- IRGC public vow of military retaliation after Larak strike with reported high casualties
- CENTCOM theater threat level raised to CRITICAL
- Pattern of multi-city launch activity and sustained firing window between ~21:30–22:00 UTC