# [7D] Ukraine to Systematically Expand Drone Campaign Against Russian Energy and Rail Corridors

*Issued Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 5:08 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-08-25T05:08:14.926Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-09-01T05:08:14.926Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 74% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Southern Russia (Krasnodar, Rostov, Dagestan), Western Russia and Volga region, Occupied Ukrainian territories
**Affected Assets**: Russian refineries and fuel depots, Rail and intermodal hubs, Russian ground force logistics on the Ukraine front
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/21670.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next seven days, Ukraine is likely to broaden its deep-strike campaign to hit additional Russian refineries, fuel depots, and rail chokepoints in the south and possibly the Volga region, aiming to erode Russia’s ability to sustain front-line operations. This pattern will shift part of the war’s center of gravity from front-line trenches to strategic infrastructure, imposing cumulative logistical friction on Russian forces. Russia will respond with enhanced air defenses, dispersal of fuel stocks, and intensified strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure. Confirmation would be a series of at least 3–5 new attacks on Russian energy/logistics assets across multiple regions.

## Drivers

- Emerging trend: Ukrainian economic warfare targeting Russian energy and logistics
- Recent multi-site strikes in Krasnodar, Rostov, and Dagestan
- Western support for Ukrainian unmanned and long-range capabilities