# [24H] Ukraine Follows Plesetsk Strike With Additional Deep Drone Attacks on Russian Rear Assets

*Issued Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 5:07 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-08-23T17:07:20.532Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-08-24T17:07:20.532Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Krasnodar Krai, Rostov Oblast, Crimea, Kursk Oblast, Arkhangelsk Oblast, Central Russia
**Affected Assets**: Russian air bases, S‑400 and long‑range radar systems, Russian fuel depots and rail nodes, Plesetsk launch infrastructure
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/21480.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, Ukraine is likely to launch at least one additional deep‑range drone or SOF attack beyond 500 km into Russian territory, targeting either air‑defense nodes, fuel depots, or rail hubs supporting the war. The objective will be to exploit fresh gaps in Russia’s southern air picture and sustain psychological pressure after reaching Arkhangelsk and striking Plesetsk. Confirmation would come from Russian regional governor statements about downed or crashing UAVs, fires at logistics or energy sites, or disruptions at space or air bases; an absence of such reports and visible Ukrainian messaging restraint would argue against it. This campaign will keep Russian civilians feeling directly exposed to the war, nudging Moscow toward tougher censorship and potentially more indiscriminate retaliation against Ukrainian infrastructure.

## Drivers

- Documented Ukrainian SOF and drone strikes on 14 Russian targets across Krasnodar, Rostov and Crimea
- Reports of Ukrainian drones reaching Plesetsk Cosmodrome in Arkhangelsk region
- Trend of systematic Ukrainian deep‑strike campaign against Russian rear infrastructure