# [7D] Ukrainian Long-Range Drone Campaign Expands to Russian Drone Manufacturing and Logistics Nodes

*Issued Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 1:03 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-08-05T13:03:15.861Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-08-12T13:03:15.861Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Central Russia (Sverdlovsk, Tula, Moscow regions), Occupied Ukraine, Frontline areas in Donbas and southern Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Russian drone production facilities, Domestic Russian logistics hubs, Insurance for Russian industrial real estate, Civil-military supply chains
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/19259.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 7 days, Ukraine is likely to extend its deep-strike drone campaign to target additional Russian FPV and UAV production facilities, warehouses, and key executives beyond the recent Yekaterinburg car bomb. Strikes on industrial sites like the Wildberries logistics hub in Aleksin show both capability and intent to disrupt dual-use commercial infrastructure feeding Russia’s drone war. This will force Russia to harden domestic security, diverting resources from the front and potentially sparking retaliatory strikes on Ukrainian industrial centers. Confirmation would be further attacks on drone-related plants or personnel in Russia’s interior; disconfirmation would involve a shift back to exclusively energy-focused deep strikes.

## Drivers

- Car bombing injuring a Russian FPV drone firm director near Yekaterinburg
- Prior Ukrainian UAV attack on Wildberries hub in Aleksin
- Trend of Ukrainian deep-strike drone campaign on Russian commercial logistics
- EUCOM assessment highlighting institutionalization of Russian drone logistics and Ukraine’s attempts to disrupt it