# [24H] Ukrainian Deep-Strike Drones Likely to Hit Additional Russian Logistics or Refining Nodes

*Issued Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 7:23 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-08-04T07:23:41.680Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-08-05T07:23:41.680Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Central Russia, Volga Federal District, Northwest Russia
**Affected Assets**: Russian domestic fuel distribution networks, Russian refinery operators (Rosneft, Gazprom Neft, Lukoil), Rail and trucking logistics inside Russia
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/19120.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Ukraine is likely to launch at least one additional deep-strike drone operation against Russian fuel infrastructure or major logistics hubs within the next 24 hours. Targets will probably mirror the Wildberries depots and refineries already hit, seeking to deepen domestic Russian supply chain disruption ahead of winter. This sustains psychological pressure on Russian civilians and forces the Kremlin to divert air defense assets away from the front. Confirmation would be verified fires or explosions at new depots or refineries in Russia’s interior; denial would require both operational weather constraints and an unusually public Russian success in pre-empting launch operations.

## Drivers

- Multiple drone strikes on Wildberries hubs near Moscow, St. Petersburg, Tver
- Repeat strikes on Syzran oil refinery
- Emerging sustained campaign on Russian logistics and energy hinterland
- Ukrainian leadership claiming 40% of Russian refining capacity disabled