# [7D] Ukraine Expands Deep-Strike UAV Campaign to Additional Russian Energy Terminals

*Issued Monday, August 3, 2026 at 8:03 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-08-03T08:03:42.949Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-08-10T08:03:42.949Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Black Sea Russian coast, Southern Russia, Volga-Don corridor, Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Russian oil export terminals, Pipeline-linked storage facilities, Russian domestic fuel distribution networks
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/19006.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, Ukraine is likely to extend its long-range drone campaign beyond Taman and Wildberries warehouses to target at least one additional Russian oil, gas, or petrochemical terminal, probably in the Black Sea or Volga regions. The aim will be to steadily ratchet up the economic cost to Moscow and disrupt sanctions-evasion logistics without provoking direct NATO–Russia confrontation. Russia will respond with thicker air defenses around high-value energy nodes and possibly retaliatory strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. Confirmation would be independently confirmed fires or damage at a Russian terminal consistent with UAV attack; denial would be a notable pause in Ukrainian cross-border strikes and public messaging focused solely on frontline defense.

## Drivers

- Confirmed Ukrainian drone damage at Tamanneftegaz oil terminal
- Sustained trend of Ukrainian deep strikes on Russian energy and logistics networks
- Recent multi-site attacks on Wildberries warehouses and a drone R&D center
