# [7D] Coordinated U.S.–Israeli Air and Cyber Campaign Targets Iranian Refineries and Export Terminals

*Issued Saturday, August 1, 2026 at 2:02 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-08-01T14:02:23.762Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-08-08T14:02:23.762Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 60% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Iran (Khuzestan, Bushehr, Kharg Island), Persian Gulf, Israel, U.S. bases in Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar, Bahrain
**Affected Assets**: Iranian crude exports, Hormuz transit volumes, Israeli and Gulf energy infrastructure (Abqaiq-style targets), Defense and aerospace equities, Gold and safe-haven FX (USD, CHF, JPY)
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18799.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

---

## Prediction

Within seven days, the U.S. and Israel are likely to launch a coordinated strike campaign—kinetic and cyber—against selected Iranian refineries, export terminals, and associated energy infrastructure. Priority targets will likely include Kharg Island export facilities, key Khuzestan refineries, and pipeline nodes supporting Hormuz flows, aiming to degrade Iran’s revenue and coercive leverage. This will provoke Iranian missile, drone, and proxy responses against U.S. bases, Israeli cities, and Gulf energy assets, potentially including attempted closure of Hormuz. Confirmation would be large-scale air operations, Tomahawk or air-launched missile strikes, and cyber-disruptions reported at Iranian energy sites; a significant diplomatic breakthrough or visible U.S. naval de-escalation in the Gulf would argue against this outcome.

## Drivers

- Emerging trend: US–Israel planning systematic strikes on Iranian energy assets as coercive leverage
- FLASH reports that U.S.–Israel are preparing one of their largest campaigns targeting Iran’s energy infrastructure
- Trump threats to strike Iran to reopen Strait of Hormuz
- CENTCOM threat level labeled CRITICAL and U.S. citizens told to leave region