# [24H] Further Russian Hypersonic–Ballistic Strikes on Kyiv Expected in Next Strike Window

*Issued Saturday, August 1, 2026 at 8:02 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-08-01T08:02:44.631Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-08-02T08:02:44.631Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 70% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Kyiv, Central Ukraine, Western Russia
**Affected Assets**: Ukrainian defense-industrial facilities, European natural gas futures (risk sentiment), Euro, Polish and Baltic sovereign CDS
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18763.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

After two heavy barrages on Kyiv in 48 hours using Iskander-M and Zircon, Russia is likely to execute at least one more major strike package against the capital within the next day, exploiting perceived Ukrainian air-defense gaps. Civilian districts and dual-use defense-industrial sites will remain at risk, with casualties and infrastructure damage likely to mount. The intent is to grind down Ukrainian morale and force Western debates on high-end air-defense resupply. Confirmation would be new missile launch detections from Kursk/Rostov and air-raid alerts over Kyiv at similar night-time windows; denial would be a sudden and explicit Russian pause claimed as a goodwill or operational reset.

## Drivers

- Recent large-scale Iskander–Zircon barrages on Kyiv and Poltava
- Emerging trend: Russia’s shift to intensive hypersonic and ballistic strikes on Kyiv’s core
- Reports of near-silent or failing air defenses around Kyiv
- Russia’s increasing use of North Korean ballistic missiles