# [24H] Limited Saudi Airstrikes Hit Houthi Launch Sites After Jazan Refinery Attack

*Issued Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 9:06 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-25T21:06:42.792Z (3h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-26T21:06:42.792Z (21h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 74% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Southwestern Saudi Arabia, Red Sea littoral of Yemen, Bab el-Mandeb corridor
**Affected Assets**: Saudi Aramco Jazan refinery, Red Sea crude and product export routes, Regional air defense systems, Shipping transiting Bab el-Mandeb
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18503.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, Saudi forces are likely to execute limited but visible airstrikes on Houthi missile and drone launch infrastructure around Hodeidah and Saada following claimed hits on the Jazan refinery and Yanbu industrial area. The objective will be to restore deterrence, appease domestic anger over perceived vulnerability, and reassure energy markets that Riyadh is retaliating. This will raise the near-term risk of further Houthi salvos on Saudi oil assets and shipping in a tit-for-tat dynamic. Confirmation would be coalition strike announcements and localized reports of blasts at known Houthi military sites; denial would be an unusual Saudi restraint coupled with emphasis on diplomatic channels.

## Drivers

- Houthi claims of massed missile and drone strikes on Jazan and Yanbu
- Confirmed plume and fire imagery from Jazan refinery direction
- Historical Saudi pattern of prompt kinetic response to Houthi attacks