# [7D] Iranian Kheibar Shekan Salvos Intensify Against US-Linked Bases in Jordan and Iraq

*Issued Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 3:06 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-25T15:06:54.902Z (5h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-08-01T15:06:54.902Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 60% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Jordan, Iraq, Syria, Iran, Gulf
**Affected Assets**: US and coalition forward operating bases, Patriot and THAAD batteries, Regional airfields and logistics depots, Defense supply chains
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18483.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next seven days, Iran and aligned militias are likely to conduct additional Kheibar Shekan or similar ballistic strikes, or large drone swarms, at or near US-linked facilities in Jordan and western Iraq. The Muwaffaq Salti and Prince Faisal incidents demonstrate Tehran’s willingness to expand the target set to Jordan, testing US resolve without directly striking GCC soil. US forces will respond by thickening air defenses and possibly conducting limited retaliatory strikes on IRGC-linked assets or militia depots in Syria or Iraq. Confirmation would be at least one further attack claim against US-associated bases in Jordan/Iraq or disclosed interdictions of launch teams; denial would be a negotiated quiet period or visible backchannel de-escalation involving Oman, Qatar, or Iraq. A sustained pattern of such salvos risks a fatal mass-casualty event that could shatter the current “managed” confrontation.

## Drivers

- Recent Iranian strike on US ammo depot in Jordan
- Documented increase in Kheibar Shekan missile use and coordinated drone salvos
- CENTCOM labeling regional threat as HIGH and highlighting base vulnerabilities