# [24H] Russia to Retaliate With Additional Drone-Missile Strikes on Ukrainian Ports and Fuel Sites

*Issued Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 9:07 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-25T09:07:16.664Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-26T09:07:16.664Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Ukraine, Black Sea, Danube Delta
**Affected Assets**: Ukrainian grain terminals, Oilseed storage and loading facilities, Rail and road fuel distribution hubs, Ukrainian air-defense stockpiles
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18447.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, Russia is likely to mount another significant drone and/or cruise missile strike package focused on Ukrainian Black Sea ports and fuel infrastructure. The recent pattern shows Russia pairing large drone salvos against ports like Odesa, Mykolaiv, and Izmail with targeted hits on fuel stations and power infrastructure in Chernihiv and Poltava regions. Renewed attacks would deepen degradation of Ukraine's export and logistics capacity and force Kyiv to expend scarce air-defense interceptors away from front lines. Confirmation would come via reported launch waves from the Black Sea or Russia's south and fresh strikes on port cranes, storage tanks, or fuel depots; a sudden publicized Russian pause linked to negotiations or sanctions relief would challenge this forecast.

## Drivers

- Recent Russian strikes on Mykolaiv, Odesa, Izmail ports and fuel stations in multiple regions
- EUCOM assessment of continued large-scale overnight exchanges
- Emerging trend of Russia accelerating economic targeting to undermine Ukrainian civil resilience
- No political or operational signals of Russian de-escalation