# [7D] Ukraine Expands Deep-Strike Campaign Against Russian Fuel and Logistics Nodes

*Issued Friday, July 24, 2026 at 9:10 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-24T09:10:52.583Z (4h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-31T09:10:52.583Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Russia (Kirov, Tver, St. Petersburg, Crimea), Eastern and Central Ukraine, Black Sea
**Affected Assets**: Russian Oil Refineries and Depots, Defense-Industrial Facilities, Russian Railway Logistics, Ukrainian Power and Port Infrastructure
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18338.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within seven days, Ukraine is likely to launch further long-range drone and cruise missile strikes against Russian oil facilities, logistics hubs, and defense-industrial plants beyond 1,000 km from the frontline, building on the Kirovo-Chepetsk and St. Petersburg attacks. The goal will be to stretch Russian air defenses, disrupt fuel supplies to the front, and impose economic costs in Russia’s interior. Russia will respond with intensified missile salvos on Ukrainian cities and infrastructure, including Odesa ports and potentially power assets. Confirmation would be additional verified strikes on Russian refineries or depots and Russian retaliatory barrages; a sudden severe shortage of Ukrainian long-range munitions or Western pressure to limit cross-border attacks could slow the campaign.

## Drivers

- Ukraine’s claimed long-range strike on an oil facility 1,350 km away
- Multiple Ukrainian strikes on Russian logistics and Wildberries hubs in St. Petersburg and Crimea
- Emerging trend: Ukraine extends long-range precision and drone campaign deep into Russian rear