# [24H] Ukraine Expands Deep-Strike Campaign on Russian Commercial Logistics Hubs

*Issued Friday, July 24, 2026 at 5:02 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-24T05:02:32.689Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-25T05:02:32.689Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 60% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: St. Petersburg, Leningrad Region, Central Russia, Crimea, Eastern Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Russian retail and e-commerce sector, Russian rail and road logistics networks, Russian urban consumer sentiment, Russian regional insurers, Russian ruble (RUB)
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18296.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Within 24 hours, Ukraine or aligned actors are likely to target at least one additional Russian logistics or warehouse node, with an emphasis on commercially branded hubs akin to Wildberries facilities. This signals Kyiv’s intent to systematically degrade Russia’s rear-area economic and supply-chain resilience, not only military depots. The psychological effect on Russian urban centers and e-commerce infrastructure will pressure Moscow to divert air defenses and internal security resources away from the front. A credible Russian arrest narrative that pins current fires on domestic sabotage or accidents, without follow-on strikes, would reduce the likelihood and strategic messaging value of further attacks in this short window.

## Drivers

- Multiple confirmed or reported attacks against Wildberries hubs in St. Petersburg, Leningrad, Tver, and Crimea
- EUCOM assessment of Ukrainian deep-strike and drone campaigns expanding into Russian strategic depth
- Pattern of Ukrainian operations focusing on symbolic economic nodes
- Absence of strong Russian deterrent retaliatory response specifically targeting Ukrainian commercial infrastructure