# [24H] Sustained U.S. Strike Wave on Bandar Abbas Keeps Hormuz Shipping Under Fire

*Issued Friday, July 24, 2026 at 5:02 AM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-24T05:02:32.689Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-25T05:02:32.689Z (22h from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 75% | **Impact**: CRITICAL
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Strait of Hormuz, Oman Gulf, United Arab Emirates, Iranian southern coast, Global sea lanes to Asia and Europe
**Affected Assets**: Brent Crude, WTI Crude, VLCC and tanker day-rates, Marine war-risk insurance, U.S. Navy and allied naval assets in CENTCOM
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18295.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

Over the next 24 hours, U.S. forces are likely to maintain strike pressure on targets in and around Bandar Abbas and adjacent coastal sites, further degrading Iranian surveillance and command capabilities near the Strait of Hormuz. This will keep commercial shippers on heightened diversion or delay plans, even if formal closure remains in place, as they reassess military and insurance risk. The operational tempo will reinforce Iran’s incentive to retaliate asymmetrically via missiles or proxies against Gulf bases and potentially commercial tankers. A visible U.S. pause in attacks on coastal areas, accompanied by back-channel talks or third-party mediation announcements, would argue against this forecast.

## Drivers

- CENTCOM confirmation of 13 consecutive nights of strikes
- Fresh imagery and footage of ongoing strikes on Bandar Abbas
- Iran’s maintained closure posture over Hormuz
- U.S. signals of a ‘massive’ strike campaign under consideration