# [7D] Ukraine to Expand Deep-Strike Campaign on Russian Energy and Military Logistics Nodes

*Issued Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC — Hamer Intelligence Services Desk*

**Issued**: 2026-07-23T23:02:44.440Z (2h ago)
**Expires**: 2026-07-30T23:02:44.440Z (7d from now)
**Category**: MILITARY | **Confidence**: 65% | **Impact**: HIGH
**Risk Direction**: escalatory
**Affected Regions**: Western Russia, Occupied Ukraine, Black Sea, Ukraine
**Affected Assets**: Urals Crude Export Flows, Black Sea Grain and Oilseed Shipments, Russian Rail Logistics, European Natural Gas Futures (via risk premium), Agricultural Commodities (Wheat, Corn)
**Permalink**: https://hamerintel.com/data/forecasts/18278.md
**Source**: https://hamerintel.com/forecasts

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## Prediction

In the next seven days, Ukraine is likely to intensify long-range drone and missile attacks against Russian fuel depots, distribution terminals, and key rail logistics hubs beyond Belgorod, building on recent strikes on fuel stations and Black Sea shipping. The goal will be to erode Russian operational tempo and raise domestic economic costs. This risks Russian retaliatory strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure and possibly more aggressive moves against Black Sea grain shipping. Confirmation would be a series of hits on depots, pipelines, and additional tankers; denial would be an externally brokered understanding limiting strikes on strategic economic infrastructure.

## Drivers

- Ukraine’s recent attacks on 20 fuel stations in Belgorod region
- Confirmed Ukrainian strikes on Black Sea tankers and Russian aircraft
- Emerging trend of mutual deep-strike campaigns targeting strategic infrastructure